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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.3x - 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Fair Value | €82.02 - €90.66 | €86.34 |
| Upside | -24.5% - -16.5% | -20.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Uber Technologies, Inc. | - | NYSE:UBER |
| Saia, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:SAIA |
| ArcBest Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:ARCB |
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | - | NYSE:KNX |
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ODFL |
| XPO, Inc. | - | DB:UX2A |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| UBER | SAIA | ARCB | KNX | ODFL | UX2A | |||
| NYSE:UBER | NasdaqGS:SAIA | NasdaqGS:ARCB | NYSE:KNX | NasdaqGS:ODFL | DB:UX2A | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 27.6% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | -5.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 36.1% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.6% | 8.9% | -5.7% | 1.2% | -2.6% | 1.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -15.4% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 19.9% | 5.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.1% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 21.1% | 2.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 22.4% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 20.4% | 4.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 20.0% | 4.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 38.8x | 11.4x | 6.4x | 9.5x | 18.8x | 15.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.1x | 2.2x | 0.4x | 1.0x | 6.1x | 1.8x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 15.1x | 22.2x | 8.0x | 46.8x | 30.2x | 37.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 2.2x | 6.1x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 1.1x | 1.9x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.4x | 1.4x | 1.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 8,008 | 8,008 | 8,008 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,815 | 11,384 | 11,954 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 117.8 | 117.8 | 117.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 91.81 | 96.64 | 101.47 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 81.01 | 85.27 | 89.54 | 108.60 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.4% | -21.5% | -17.6% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | UBER | SAIA | ARCB | KNX | ODFL | UX2A | |
| Value of Common Equity | 185,424 | 7,138 | 1,443 | 7,069 | 34,698 | 14,499 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,091.2 | 26.6 | 22.9 | 162.1 | 211.3 | 117.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 88.67 | 268.75 | 63.00 | 43.62 | 164.19 | 123.07 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 88.67 | 268.75 | 63.00 | 43.62 | 164.19 | 108.60 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |