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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 18.5x - 20.4x | 19.5x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 14.4x - 16.0x | 15.2x |
| Fair Value | €117.11 - €129.43 | €123.27 |
| Upside | 14.6% - 26.6% | 20.6% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CHRW |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | - | NYSE:EXPD |
| FedEx Corporation | - | NYSE:FDX |
| GXO Logistics, Inc. | - | NYSE:GXO |
| Forward Air Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:FWRD |
| United Parcel Service, Inc. | - | DB:UPAB |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| CHRW | EXPD | FDX | GXO | FWRD | UPAB | |||
| NasdaqGS:CHRW | NYSE:EXPD | NYSE:FDX | NYSE:GXO | NasdaqGS:FWRD | DB:UPAB | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.2% | 6.5% | 51.7% | 17.4% | NM- | 5.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -18.0% | -17.0% | -6.1% | -4.3% | NM- | -23.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 43.2% | 7.6% | -10.8% | -41.5% | -2032.5% | -13.8% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | -1.2% | 7.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.8% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 7.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% | -32.8% | 6.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.1% | -32.8% | 6.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.0x | 14.7x | 8.2x | 11.6x | 14.6x | 9.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 1.6x | 0.7x | 0.4x | 0.2x | 1.0x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 26.1x | 20.7x | 14.8x | 35.1x | -0.7x | 16.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -0.7x | 20.7x | 35.1x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 13.4x | 16.1x | 31.8x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 18.5x | 19.5x | 20.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 5,782 | 5,782 | 5,782 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 106,955 | 112,585 | 118,214 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 847.5 | 847.5 | 847.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 126.20 | 132.84 | 139.48 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 116.83 | 122.98 | 129.13 | 102.20 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 14.3% | 20.3% | 26.4% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CHRW | EXPD | FDX | GXO | FWRD | UPAB | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12,155 | 16,598 | 58,409 | 4,671 | 611 | 93,560 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 118.7 | 138.0 | 239.6 | 119.5 | 30.4 | 847.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 102.40 | 120.25 | 243.78 | 39.08 | 20.09 | 110.39 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 102.40 | 120.25 | 243.78 | 39.08 | 20.09 | 102.20 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.08 | |