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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.3x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 1.2x - 2.7x | 1.6x |
Fair Value | €2.95 - €3.27 | €3.11 |
Upside | 11.1% - 22.7% | 16.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
PetroChina Company Limited | 85,700.0% | SEHK:857 |
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | - | BOVESPA:PETR3 |
Cosan S.A. | - | BOVESPA:CSAN3 |
Petroreconcavo S.A. | - | BOVESPA:RECV3 |
Brava Energia S.A. | - | BOVESPA:BRAV3 |
Ultrapar Participações S.A. | - | DB:UGR |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
857 | PETR3 | CSAN3 | RECV3 | BRAV3 | UGR | |||
SEHK:857 | BOVESPA:PETR3 | BOVESPA:CSAN3 | BOVESPA:RECV3 | BOVESPA:BRAV3 | DB:UGR | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 29.2% | 4.1% | NM- | 47.0% | NM- | 44.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | 21.3% | -30.0% | NM- | 35.2% | NM- | 44.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.3% | -56.3% | -741.3% | -10.4% | -1.2% | -13.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.7% | 18.6% | 8.9% | 22.3% | -23.5% | 1.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.4% | 24.3% | 2.7% | 25.2% | 7.2% | 1.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 7.5% | -22.1% | 13.4% | -10.4% | 1.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.8% | 9.7% | -25.8% | 16.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.5% | 26.3% | 7.5% | 17.9% | -7.4% | 11.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.5% | 33.5% | 5.0% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 19.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.8% | 12.0% | -79.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 15.6% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 26.0% | 25.7% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 9.6% | 21.2% | 49.3% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.9x | 0.3x | 1.2x | 0.9x | 0.1x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 8.9x | 8.9x | -1.2x | 7.5x | 56.7x | 8.4x | ||
Price / Book | 0.9x | 1.1x | 1.8x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 1.2x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.6x | 1.0x | 0.7x | 1.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.8x | 0.9x | 1.8x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 1.2x | 1.6x | 2.7x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 1.3x | 1.4x | 1.5x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 15,196 | 15,196 | 15,196 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 857 | PETR3 | CSAN3 | RECV3 | BRAV3 | UGR | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,594,774 | 440,408 | 14,120 | 4,133 | 8,633 | 18,374 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 273,222.9 | 12,888.7 | 1,862.8 | 293.1 | 464.2 | 1,075.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.84 | 34.17 | 7.58 | 14.10 | 18.60 | 17.09 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6.42 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.34 | 34.17 | 7.58 | 14.10 | 18.60 | 2.66 | |
Trading Currency | HKD | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 6.42 |