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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.8x - 16.4x | 15.6x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.5x - 14.9x | 14.2x |
Fair Value | €0.55 - €0.66 | €0.60 |
Upside | 35.5% - 63.5% | 49.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. | INW | BIT:INW |
Telefónica, S.A. | 1TEF | BIT:1TEF |
Telefónica Deutschland Holding AG | O2D | HMSE:O2D |
Deutsche Telekom AG | 1DTE | BIT:1DTE |
Liberty Global Ltd. | 3O41 | DB:3O41 |
Telecom Italia S.p.A. | TQI | DB:TQI |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
INW | 1TEF | O2D | 1DTE | 3O41 | TQI | ||
BIT:INW | BIT:1TEF | HMSE:O2D | BIT:1DTE | DB:3O41 | DB:TQI | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 20.0% | -3.2% | NM- | 18.2% | NM- | -12.4% | |
3Y CAGR | 15.7% | 25.8% | 184.2% | 21.7% | NM- | 1.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.5% | 89.9% | 66.7% | 9.9% | 108.7% | -19.5% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 49.7% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 15.3% | 5.9% | 11.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 53.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 19.2% | -6.4% | 13.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 54.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 20.6% | -0.3% | 11.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 54.0% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 20.9% | 0.6% | 11.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 13.29x | 1.45x | 1.21x | 2.57x | 2.68x | 1.53x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.6x | 6.1x | 6.2x | 7.5x | 11.4x | 5.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 24.6x | 12.9x | 20.8x | 12.3x | 451.8x | 13.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.3x | 20.8x | 451.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 17.1x | 27.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.8x | 15.6x | 16.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 1,585 | 1,585 | 1,585 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 23,479 | 24,714 | 25,950 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (11,180) | (11,180) | (11,180) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 12,299 | 13,534 | 14,770 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 21,260.8 | 21,260.8 | 21,260.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.69 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.40 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 43.0% | 57.4% | 71.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | INW | 1TEF | O2D | 1DTE | 3O41 | TQI | |
Enterprise Value | 13,925 | 59,422 | 6,615 | 309,232 | (550) | 19,780 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 57 | 7,059 | 0 | 17,008 | 2,167 | 3,785 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 8,159 | 0 | 8,015 | 12,242 | 1,580 | |
(-) Debt | (4,510) | (45,483) | 0 | (152,089) | (10,238) | (15,197) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (8) | (3,948) | 0 | (33,697) | (193) | (1,348) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 9,464 | 25,209 | 6,615 | 148,469 | 3,429 | 8,600 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 921.5 | 5,643.3 | 2,974.6 | 4,871.0 | 345.6 | 21,260.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 10.27 | 4.47 | 2.22 | 30.48 | 9.92 | 0.40 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 10.27 | 4.47 | 2.22 | 30.48 | 8.49 | 0.40 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 1.00 |