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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Adjusted Earnings | 2,721.8 B - 5,008.5 B | 3,318.3 B |
Discount Rate | 10.8% - 8.8% | 9.8% |
Fair Value | €7.46 - €22.59 | €11.59 |
Upside | -55.0% - 36.5% | -30.0% |
Estimate Adjusted EBIT Margin | |||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | LTM | ||||||
Mar-20 | Mar-21 | Mar-22 | Mar-23 | Mar-24 | Dec-24 | ||
(JPY in millions) | FY-4 | FY-3 | FY-2 | FY-1 | FY | LTM | |
Revenue | 29,866,547 | 27,214,593 | 31,379,507 | 37,154,298 | 45,095,325 | 46,746,150 | |
Adjusted EBITDA Build-up | |||||||
EBT, Incl. Unusual Items | 2,792,942 | 2,932,355 | 3,990,532 | 3,668,733 | 6,965,086 | 7,038,114 | |
(+) Net Interest Expense | (187,959) | (152,016) | (163,887) | (296,054) | (517,133) | (434,619) | |
(+) Other Non Operating Exp. | (205,752) | (582,591) | (830,933) | (652,666) | (1,093,256) | (1,809,544) | |
(+) D&A | 1,445,571 | 1,491,748 | 1,821,880 | 1,678,236 | 1,670,900 | 1,821,256 | |
(+) Non-recurring Items | |||||||
Adjusted EBITDA | 3,844,802 | 3,689,496 | 4,817,592 | 4,398,249 | 7,025,597 | 6,615,207 | |
(-) D&A | (1,445,571) | (1,491,748) | (1,821,880) | (1,678,236) | (1,670,900) | (1,821,256) | |
Adjusted EBIT | 2,399,231 | 2,197,748 | 2,995,712 | 2,720,013 | 5,354,697 | 4,793,951 | |
% of Revenue | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | |
Low | Median | High | |||||
Adjusted EBIT Margin | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Model | |||||||
(JPY in millions) | Low | Mid | High | Market | |||
Enterprise Value | 25,319,035 | 34,034,093 | 57,240,232 | 44,509,964 | |||
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 13,881,381 | 13,881,381 | 13,881,381 | 13,881,381 | |||
(+) Investments & Other | 17,057,548 | 17,057,548 | 17,057,548 | 17,057,548 | |||
(-) Debt | (39,579,686) | (39,579,686) | (39,579,686) | (39,579,686) | |||
(-) Other Liabilities | (946,255) | (946,255) | (946,255) | (946,255) | |||
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Value of Common Equity | 15,732,023 | 24,447,081 | 47,653,220 | 34,922,952 | |||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13,062.4 | 13,062.4 | 13,062.4 | 13,062.4 | |||
Implied Stock Price (JPY) | 1,204.37 | 1,871.56 | 3,648.12 | 2,673.55 | |||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 161.52 | 161.52 | 161.52 | 161.52 | |||
Implied Stock Price (EUR) | 7.46 | 11.59 | 22.59 | 16.55 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -54.95% | -30.00% | 36.45% | ||||
Stock Price | 16.55 | ||||||
Stock Price Close | 16.55 | ||||||
Restatment Type | Original | ||||||
Reporting Currency | JPY | ||||||
Trading Currency | EUR | ||||||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 161.52 | ||||||
Market Cap | 211,555.2 | ||||||
Shares Outstanding | 13,062.4 | ||||||
Share Exchange Ratio | 1.0 | ||||||
Liquid Long-term Investments | 0 |