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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | €261.81 - €289.37 | €275.59 |
| Upside | 0.7% - 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| FedEx Corporation | - | XTRA:FDX |
| Nurminen Logistics Oyj | - | DB:8I4 |
| InPost S.A. | 66,900.0% | DB:669 |
| bpost NV/SA | - | DB:13B |
| Foodlink A.E. | - | ATSE:FOODL |
| Logwin AG | - | DB:TGHN |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FDX | 8I4 | 669 | 13B | FOODL | TGHN | |||
| XTRA:FDX | DB:8I4 | DB:669 | DB:13B | ATSE:FOODL | DB:TGHN | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.9% | 8.6% | 54.7% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -2.0% | -9.5% | 33.6% | 0.3% | 9.5% | -8.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.3% | -16.7% | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 21.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 1.7% | -1.0% | 4.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.9% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 6.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | -4.7% | 0.9% | 4.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | -6.2% | 0.9% | 4.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.9x | 5.4x | 13.4x | 4.8x | 14.1x | 5.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 0.8x | 2.4x | 0.1x | 0.3x | 0.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 13.4x | 9.8x | 23.1x | -1.5x | 34.1x | 12.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.6x | 2.4x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 0.5x | 0.5x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,491 | 1,491 | 1,491 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 751 | 790 | 830 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 260.78 | 274.51 | 288.23 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 260.78 | 274.51 | 288.23 | 260.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 0.3% | 5.6% | 10.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FDX | 8I4 | 669 | 13B | FOODL | TGHN | |
| Value of Common Equity | 54,835 | 82 | 27,141 | 424 | 28 | 749 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 235.9 | 80.7 | 497.7 | 200.0 | 32.8 | 2.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 232.40 | 1.02 | 54.53 | 2.12 | 0.86 | 260.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.16 | 1.00 | 4.26 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 199.82 | 1.02 | 12.79 | 2.12 | 0.86 | 260.00 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.16 | 1.00 | 4.26 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |