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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 11.5x - 12.7x | 12.1x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 11.4x - 12.6x | 12.0x |
| Fair Value | €242.95 - €268.52 | €255.74 |
| Upside | 2.1% - 12.8% | 7.5% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| FedEx Corporation | - | XTRA:FDX |
| MaltaPost p.l.c. | - | MTSE:MTP |
| Nurminen Logistics Oyj | - | DB:8I4 |
| PostNL N.V. | - | DB:TNTC |
| bpost NV/SA | - | DB:13B |
| Logwin AG | - | DB:TGHN |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FDX | MTP | 8I4 | TNTC | 13B | TGHN | |||
| XTRA:FDX | MTSE:MTP | DB:8I4 | DB:TNTC | DB:13B | DB:TGHN | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 26.1% | 8.2% | NM- | -24.2% | NM- | 13.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 2.3% | 27.4% | -15.6% | -57.1% | NM- | 0.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.4% | 3.0% | -58.4% | -32.3% | -514.4% | -18.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | -3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.9% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 6.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 0.6% | -4.7% | 4.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 0.6% | -5.7% | 4.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.9x | 4.0x | 5.5x | 9.7x | 6.6x | 4.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 0.9x | 0.8x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 0.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 13.4x | 11.7x | 13.5x | 22.0x | -1.7x | 10.6x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -1.7x | 13.4x | 22.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 9.8x | 10.6x | 14.1x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 11.5x | 12.1x | 12.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 65 | 65 | 65 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 742 | 782 | 821 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 257.86 | 271.43 | 285.00 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 257.86 | 271.43 | 285.00 | 238.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.3% | 14.0% | 19.7% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FDX | MTP | 8I4 | TNTC | 13B | TGHN | |
| Value of Common Equity | 54,281 | 37 | 82 | 455 | 425 | 685 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 239.6 | 80.3 | 80.7 | 508.7 | 200.0 | 2.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 226.55 | 0.46 | 1.02 | 0.90 | 2.13 | 238.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 193.54 | 0.46 | 1.02 | 0.90 | 2.13 | 238.00 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |