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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 27.1x - 30.0x | 28.6x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13.0x - 14.4x | 13.7x |
Fair Value | €4.73 - €5.22 | €4.97 |
Upside | 21.8% - 34.4% | 28.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
iHeartMedia, Inc. | IHRT | NasdaqGS:IHRT |
Taboola.com Ltd. | TBLA | NasdaqGS:TBLA |
Spotify Technology S.A. | 0SPT | LSE:0SPT |
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. | SIRI | NasdaqGS:SIRI |
WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. | WBTN | NasdaqGS:WBTN |
Audioboom Group plc | T28 | DB:T28 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
IHRT | TBLA | 0SPT | SIRI | WBTN | T28 | ||
NasdaqGS:IHRT | NasdaqGS:TBLA | LSE:0SPT | NasdaqGS:SIRI | NasdaqGS:WBTN | DB:T28 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -8.9% | 44.4% | 121.0% | 2.1% | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | -7.1% | 38.8% | 88.4% | -1.6% | NM- | -16.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -6.8% | 105.5% | 149.5% | -7.6% | -274.7% | 149.8% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 17.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 28.8% | -2.2% | -6.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 16.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 27.9% | 0.6% | -25.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 28.1% | -2.4% | 1.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 14.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 27.7% | -5.4% | 4.9% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.53x | 0.55x | 7.10x | 1.89x | 0.43x | 1.10x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.4x | 7.3x | 61.2x | 6.8x | -7.9x | 22.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 34.6x | 22.0x | 62.4x | 8.8x | -5.3x | 22.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -7.9x | 7.3x | 61.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -26.1x | -4.1x | 2411.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 27.1x | 28.6x | 30.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 4 | 4 | 4 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 99 | 104 | 109 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 101 | 106 | 111 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 5.60 | 5.89 | 6.18 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.83 | 5.08 | 5.33 | 3.88 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 24.4% | 30.8% | 37.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | IHRT | TBLA | 0SPT | SIRI | WBTN | T28 | |
Enterprise Value | 5,915 | 1,001 | 116,546 | 16,158 | 581 | 79 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 168 | 115 | 6,851 | 92 | 570 | 3 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 2,417 | 1,002 | 152 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (5,829) | (175) | (2,450) | (10,197) | (28) | (1) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (5) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (85) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 249 | 941 | 123,364 | 7,055 | 1,190 | 81 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 152.7 | 296.7 | 205.8 | 336.7 | 130.2 | 18.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.63 | 3.17 | 599.50 | 20.95 | 9.14 | 4.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.63 | 3.17 | 599.50 | 20.95 | 9.14 | 3.88 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | EUR | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |