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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.6x |
Fair Value | €71.53 - €81.62 | €76.57 |
Upside | 2.9% - 17.4% | 10.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Costco Wholesale Corporation | COST | NasdaqGS:COST |
HF Foods Group Inc. | HFFG | NasdaqCM:HFFG |
US Foods Holding Corp. | USFD | NYSE:USFD |
Bid Corporation Limited | BPPP.F | OTCPK:BPPP.F |
Tesco PLC | TSCD.F | OTCPK:TSCD.F |
Sysco Corporation | SYY | DB:SYY |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
COST | HFFG | USFD | BPPP.F | TSCD.F | SYY | |||
NasdaqGS:COST | NasdaqCM:HFFG | NYSE:USFD | OTCPK:BPPP.F | OTCPK:TSCD.F | DB:SYY | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 10.8% | 25.4% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 1.3% | 5.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | 9.1% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 25.3% | 5.6% | 15.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 3.5% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.7% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.60x | 0.36x | 0.55x | 0.72x | 0.46x | 0.62x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 43.4x | 59.9x | 18.5x | 13.5x | 10.6x | 14.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.62x | 0.20x | 0.41x | 0.65x | 0.32x | 0.46x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.36x | 0.55x | 1.60x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.62x | 0.64x | 1.10x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.62x | 0.65x | 0.69x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 80,570 | 80,570 | 80,570 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 50,060 | 52,695 | 55,330 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (12,914) | (12,914) | (12,914) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 37,146 | 39,781 | 42,416 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 489.2 | 489.2 | 489.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 75.93 | 81.31 | 86.70 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 69.98 | 74.95 | 79.91 | 69.54 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 0.6% | 7.8% | 14.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | COST | HFFG | USFD | BPPP.F | TSCD.F | SYY | |
Enterprise Value | 418,332 | 426 | 20,575 | 164,864 | 31,918 | 49,825 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 13,158 | 14 | 59 | 7,553 | 4,239 | 793 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1,029 | 917 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (8,039) | (204) | (5,434) | (23,013) | (14,638) | (13,692) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (2) | 0 | (400) | 6 | (15) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 423,451 | 237 | 15,200 | 150,032 | 22,442 | 36,911 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 443.7 | 52.7 | 230.4 | 335.2 | 6,696.9 | 489.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 954.40 | 4.50 | 65.98 | 447.60 | 3.35 | 75.45 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 0.77 | 1.08 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 954.40 | 4.50 | 65.98 | 23.75 | 4.35 | 69.54 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 18.85 | 0.77 | 1.08 |