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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.0x - 15.5x | 14.8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.9x - 14.2x | 13.6x |
Fair Value | €19.55 - €21.84 | €20.69 |
Upside | 2.7% - 14.7% | 8.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Epiroc AB (publ) | EPI A | OM:EPIA |
Beijer Alma AB (publ) | BEIA B | OM:BEIAB |
Trelleborg AB (publ) | TREL B | OM:TRELB |
Troax Group AB (publ) | TROAX | OM:TROAX |
ITT Inc. | 2II | DB:2II |
Sandvik AB (publ) | SVKB | DB:SVKB |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
EPI A | BEIA B | TREL B | TROAX | 2II | SVKB | ||
OM:EPIA | OM:BEIAB | OM:TRELB | OM:TROAX | DB:2II | DB:SVKB | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 8.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 1.1% | |
3Y CAGR | 10.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | -5.3% | 13.3% | 2.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -2.5% | 9.4% | 1.3% | -9.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 21.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 17.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 21.9% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 18.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 19.1% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 15.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 19.2% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 18.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 3.92x | 2.21x | 2.48x | 2.95x | 3.37x | 2.40x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.4x | 14.9x | 12.1x | 15.2x | 15.8x | 10.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 20.4x | 17.3x | 15.6x | 18.9x | 19.3x | 13.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 15.6x | 18.9x | 20.4x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 13.8x | 15.1x | 19.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.0x | 14.8x | 15.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 22,120 | 22,120 | 22,120 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 310,145 | 326,468 | 342,792 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (31,384) | (31,384) | (31,384) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 278,761 | 295,084 | 311,408 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,254.4 | 1,254.4 | 1,254.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 222.23 | 235.24 | 248.26 | ||||
FX Rate: SEK/EUR | 11.1 | 11.1 | 11.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 20.05 | 21.22 | 22.39 | 19.04 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 5.3% | 11.5% | 17.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | EPI A | BEIA B | TREL B | TROAX | 2II | SVKB | |
Enterprise Value | 263,802 | 16,221 | 85,754 | 805 | 12,149 | 296,076 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9,107 | 505 | 1,918 | 29 | 440 | 4,965 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 31 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 43 | 9,894 | |
(-) Debt | (21,370) | (3,400) | (8,903) | (79) | (831) | (46,171) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (368) | (68) | (4) | 0 | (7) | (72) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 251,202 | 13,258 | 78,822 | 755 | 11,794 | 264,692 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,208.9 | 60.3 | 228.5 | 59.8 | 78.7 | 1,254.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 207.80 | 220.00 | 345.00 | 12.61 | 149.86 | 211.01 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 1.15 | 11.09 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 207.80 | 220.00 | 345.00 | 139.80 | 130.00 | 19.04 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 1.15 | 11.09 |