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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 9.8% - 10.3% | 10.0% |
Discount Rate | 17.3% - 16.2% | 16.8% |
Fair Value | €54.82 - €66.42 | €59.98 |
Upside | 35.7% - 64.4% | 48.5% |
Project Adjusted Dividends | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | ||||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
Net Income to Common | 68 | 581 | 629 | 638 | 619 | 640 | 640 | |
% Growth | -82.1% | 757.1% | 8.4% | 1.4% | -3.0% | 3.4% | ||
Payout Ratio | 300.4% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 90.0% | 92.5% | |
Projected Dividends | 203 | 523 | 566 | 575 | 557 | 576 | 592 | |
% Growth | 156.8% | 8.4% | 1.4% | -3.0% | 3.4% |
Historical Performance | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | YTD | YTD | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | |
Cash Dividends Paid | 173 | 179 | 187 | 197 | 203 | 197 | 203 | |
% Growth | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 3% | |||
Net Income to Common | 207 | (85) | 378 | 379 | 68 | 379 | 68 | |
% Growth | NM | NM | 0% | -82% | -82% | |||
Payout Ratio | 83% | -209% | 49% | 52% | 300% | 52% | 300% | |
Retention Ratio | 17% | 309% | 51% | 48% | -200% | 48% | -200% | |
Adjusted EBITDA | 754 | 198 | 988 | 903 | 895 | 903 | 895 | |
% Growth | -74% | 398% | -9% | -1% | -1% | |||
Total Debt | 2,014 | 1,891 | 3,526 | 3,274 | 7,351 | 3,274 | 7,351 | |
Shareholder's Equity | 1,900 | 1,837 | 2,066 | 2,424 | 2,272 | 2,424 | 2,272 | |
Debt / EBITDA | 2.7 | 9.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 8.2 | 8.3 | ||
Debt / Equity | 106% | 103% | 171% | 135% | 324% | 135% | 324% | |
3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth | 4.4% | |||||||
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio | 52.1% |