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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -25.9x - -28.6x | -27.2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.1x - 15.6x | 14.9x |
Fair Value | €44.60 - €49.33 | €46.96 |
Upside | -22.3% - -14.1% | -18.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
PVA TePla AG | TPE | XTRA:TPE |
Planoptik AG | P4O | XTRA:P4O |
Manz AG | M5Z | DB:M5Z |
EEMS Italia SpA | E2Y0 | DB:E2Y0 |
OSAI Automation System S.p.A. | 6JG | DB:6JG |
First Sensor AG | SIS | DB:SIS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
TPE | P4O | M5Z | E2Y0 | 6JG | SIS | ||
XTRA:TPE | XTRA:P4O | DB:M5Z | DB:E2Y0 | DB:6JG | DB:SIS | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 25.8% | 3.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 29.7% | -2.7% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 6.9% | -56.8% | -514.6% | 2.9% | -1253.5% | -795.5% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.7% | 10.3% | -5.5% | -228.7% | 2.1% | -0.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.9% | 17.5% | -3.2% | -166.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.4% | 8.5% | -0.6% | -243.7% | -10.9% | -15.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 14.2% | 8.5% | -18.2% | -253.8% | -19.1% | -16.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.28x | 0.94x | 0.25x | 0.86x | 1.09x | 5.25x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 6.4x | -1.5x | -0.3x | -6.9x | -47.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | 11.1x | -1.4x | -0.3x | -5.7x | -32.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -5.7x | -0.3x | 11.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 210.7x | 11445.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -25.9x | -27.2x | -28.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (18) | (18) | (18) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 477 | 502 | 527 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4) | (4) | (4) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 473 | 498 | 523 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.3 | 10.3 | 10.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 45.78 | 48.21 | 50.64 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 45.78 | 48.21 | 50.64 | 57.40 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -20.2% | -16.0% | -11.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TPE | P4O | M5Z | E2Y0 | 6JG | SIS | |
Enterprise Value | 345 | 11 | 52 | 1 | 45 | 597 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (24) | (2) | (69) | (0) | (39) | (4) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 339 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 593 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 20.8 | 4.5 | 10.3 | 12.4 | 16.1 | 10.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 16.27 | 3.22 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.43 | 57.40 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 16.27 | 3.22 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.43 | 57.40 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |