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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 56.3x - 62.2x | 59.3x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 25.8x - 28.5x | 27.2x |
Fair Value | €1,069 - €1,181 | €1,125 |
Upside | -42.2% - -36.1% | -39.1% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Hensoldt AG | - | XTRA:HAG |
Thales S.A. | - | DB:CSF |
MTU Aero Engines AG | - | XTRA:MTX |
Dassault Aviation société anonyme | - | DB:DAU0 |
Safran SA | - | XTRA:SEJ1 |
Rheinmetall AG | - | DB:RHM |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
HAG | CSF | MTX | DAU0 | SEJ1 | RHM | |||
XTRA:HAG | DB:CSF | XTRA:MTX | DB:DAU0 | XTRA:SEJ1 | DB:RHM | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 78.9% | -2.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | NM- | 19.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | 19.7% | 1.2% | 41.8% | 15.1% | NM- | 27.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 48.4% | 6.1% | 764.5% | 33.2% | -119.4% | 45.7% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 5.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 3.0% | 5.2% | -1.9% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 8.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 14.4% | -2.4% | 8.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 14.4% | -2.4% | 8.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 49.2x | 19.4x | 17.6x | 17.3x | 21.2x | 46.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 5.2x | 2.5x | 2.6x | 3.6x | 4.2x | 8.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 131.4x | 50.5x | 28.3x | 25.0x | -174.7x | 101.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -174.7x | 28.3x | 131.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 10.4x | 21.0x | 39.0x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 56.3x | 59.3x | 62.2x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 839 | 839 | 839 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 47,253 | 49,740 | 52,227 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 45.8 | 45.8 | 45.8 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1,032.43 | 1,086.77 | 1,141.11 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,032.43 | 1,086.77 | 1,141.11 | 1,848.50 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -44.1% | -41.2% | -38.3% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HAG | CSF | MTX | DAU0 | SEJ1 | RHM | |
Value of Common Equity | 12,081 | 50,302 | 20,383 | 22,903 | 115,322 | 84,603 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 115.5 | 205.3 | 53.8 | 78.2 | 416.8 | 45.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 104.60 | 245.00 | 378.70 | 292.80 | 276.70 | 1,848.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 104.60 | 245.00 | 378.70 | 292.80 | 276.70 | 1,848.50 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |