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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 7.8x - 8.7x | 8.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 7.8x - 8.7x | 8.2x |
Fair Value | €1.35 - €1.49 | €1.42 |
Upside | -10.9% - -1.5% | -6.2% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Air Canada | - | DB:ADH2 |
American Airlines Group Inc. | - | DB:A1G |
Finnair Oyj | - | HLSE:FIA1S |
Air China Limited | - | DB:AD2 |
International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. | - | BME:IAG |
Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA | - | DB:NWC |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
ADH2 | A1G | FIA1S | AD2 | IAG | NWC | |||
DB:ADH2 | DB:A1G | HLSE:FIA1S | DB:AD2 | BME:IAG | DB:NWC | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 3.1% | -12.9% | -9.8% | NM- | 9.8% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -12.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -22.5% | 37.0% | -83.3% | -395.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -30.7% | -9.9% | -29.9% | -23.7% | -23.4% | -84.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 1.6% | 7.2% | -0.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | -0.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | -0.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | 6.8x | 3.7x | 24.6x | 4.9x | 12.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 0.1x | 0.2x | 0.7x | 0.6x | 0.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 3.8x | 11.8x | 37.9x | -191.6x | 7.0x | 10.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -191.6x | 7.0x | 37.9x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -0.7x | 6.0x | 7.7x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 7.8x | 8.2x | 8.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 1,811 | 1,811 | 1,811 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 14,189 | 14,935 | 15,682 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,055.2 | 1,055.2 | 1,055.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 13.45 | 14.15 | 14.86 | |||||
FX Rate: NOK/EUR | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.12 | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.51 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -25.5% | -21.6% | -17.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ADH2 | A1G | FIA1S | AD2 | IAG | NWC | |
Value of Common Equity | 6,362 | 8,016 | 599 | 121,739 | 20,672 | 19,051 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 296.1 | 659.5 | 204.8 | 25,346.5 | 4,656.9 | 1,055.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 21.48 | 12.15 | 2.93 | 4.80 | 4.44 | 18.05 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.59 | 1.16 | 1.00 | 8.33 | 1.00 | 11.96 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.48 | 10.48 | 2.93 | 0.58 | 4.44 | 1.51 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.59 | 1.16 | 1.00 | 8.33 | 1.00 | 11.96 |