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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 35.3x - 39.0x | 37.2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5.6x - 6.2x | 5.9x |
Fair Value | €2.23 - €2.64 | €2.43 |
Upside | -30.8% - -18.1% | -24.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Extreme Networks, Inc. | EXTR | NasdaqGS:EXTR |
Ciena Corporation | CIEN | NYSE:CIEN |
Calix, Inc. | CALX | NYSE:CALX |
Harmonic Inc. | HLIT | NasdaqGS:HLIT |
NetScout Systems, Inc. | NTCT | NasdaqGS:NTCT |
Ribbon Communications Inc. | NU42 | DB:NU42 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
EXTR | CIEN | CALX | HLIT | NTCT | NU42 | ||
NasdaqGS:EXTR | NYSE:CIEN | NYSE:CALX | NasdaqGS:HLIT | NasdaqGS:NTCT | DB:NU42 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -12.6% | NM- | 39.5% | 31.5% | 45.2% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -26.7% | NM- | 68.4% | 17.1% | 15.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -138.6% | -51.9% | -445.8% | 886.4% | 34.8% | 84.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.7% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 1.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | -0.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -2.6% | 4.8% | -5.2% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 3.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -1.7% | 4.5% | -5.7% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 2.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.94x | 2.86x | 3.33x | 1.47x | 1.44x | 1.17x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 1500.4x | 36.4x | -97.6x | 8.3x | 8.3x | 11.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -112.7x | 63.0x | -58.3x | 9.2x | 14.9x | 42.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -112.7x | 9.2x | 63.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -43.3x | 27.5x | 83.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 35.3x | 37.2x | 39.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 23 | 23 | 23 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 818 | 862 | 905 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (337) | (337) | (337) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 482 | 525 | 568 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 176.5 | 176.5 | 176.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2.73 | 2.97 | 3.22 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.40 | 2.62 | 2.83 | 3.22 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -25.4% | -18.7% | -12.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | EXTR | CIEN | CALX | HLIT | NTCT | NU42 | |
Enterprise Value | 2,151 | 11,650 | 2,758 | 1,028 | 1,212 | 982 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 185 | 1,212 | 282 | 149 | 491 | 71 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (227) | (1,578) | (7) | (149) | (44) | (408) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,109 | 11,389 | 3,033 | 1,028 | 1,661 | 645 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 133.2 | 142.1 | 64.8 | 113.1 | 71.3 | 176.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 15.84 | 80.12 | 46.79 | 9.09 | 23.28 | 3.65 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.84 | 80.12 | 46.79 | 9.09 | 23.28 | 3.22 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 |