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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 4.3x - 4.8x | 4.5x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 4.2x - 5.9x | 4.4x |
Fair Value | €11.75 - €12.99 | €12.37 |
Upside | -21.7% - -13.4% | -17.5% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
A.G. BARR p.l.c. | - | LSE:BAG |
C&C Group plc | - | BATS-CHIXE:CCRL |
Shepherd Neame Limited | - | OFEX:SHEP |
Greencore Group plc | - | LSE:GNC |
Fevertree Drinks PLC | - | AIM:FEVR |
Nichols plc | - | DB:NRV |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BAG | CCRL | SHEP | GNC | FEVR | NRV | |||
LSE:BAG | BATS-CHIXE:CCRL | OFEX:SHEP | LSE:GNC | AIM:FEVR | DB:NRV | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 5.9% | NM- | 13.5% | 2.4% | -16.0% | -7.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | 12.5% | NM- | NM- | 22.2% | -18.2% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.1% | -660.8% | 40.7% | 29.0% | 58.4% | -2.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 10.0% | -2.5% | -5.5% | 1.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 10.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.4% | -6.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | -7.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.3% | -4.6% | -2.3% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 19.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.0% | -18.0% | 2.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 19.7% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 27.4% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 14.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 24.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.7x | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.4x | 2.7x | 2.7x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 17.5x | -5.0x | 15.5x | 16.8x | 41.5x | 26.1x | ||
Price / Book | 2.2x | 1.0x | 0.4x | 1.7x | 4.1x | 5.5x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 2.0x | 1.0x | 0.4x | 1.7x | 4.0x | 4.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.4x | 1.7x | 4.1x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 4.2x | 4.4x | 5.9x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 4.3x | 4.5x | 4.8x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 84 | 84 | 84 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BAG | CCRL | SHEP | GNC | FEVR | NRV | |
Value of Common Equity | 695 | 590 | 76 | 779 | 1,012 | 462 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 111.2 | 377.2 | 14.8 | 432.1 | 125.0 | 36.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 6.25 | 1.56 | 5.13 | 1.80 | 8.10 | 12.65 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.25 | 1.32 | 5.13 | 1.80 | 8.10 | 15.00 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 |