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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.3x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
| Fair Value | €0.42 - €0.46 | €0.44 |
| Upside | 7.4% - 18.7% | 13.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| South32 Limited | - | ASX:S32 |
| IGO Limited | - | ASX:IGO |
| Sandfire Resources Limited | - | ASX:SFR |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | - | KAS:FCX_KZ |
| Antofagasta plc | - | OTCPK:ANFG.F |
| Nickel Industries Limited | - | DB:NM5 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| S32 | IGO | SFR | FCX_KZ | ANFG.F | NM5 | |||
| ASX:S32 | ASX:IGO | ASX:SFR | KAS:FCX_KZ | OTCPK:ANFG.F | DB:NM5 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -5.8% | 1.4% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 29.9% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 0.1% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 3.7% | -4.0% | 39.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 36.1% | -25.3% | 36.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | -7.2% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.8% | 28.5% | 7.2% | 16.2% | 23.8% | 16.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -10.7% | 53.6% | -6.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 6.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -11.4% | 0.3% | -1.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | -9.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.8% | -155.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 12.5% | -9.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.3x | -6.1x | 8.3x | 9.1x | 9.7x | 7.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.5x | 4.7x | 3.1x | 2.6x | 3.9x | 1.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -38.5x | -3.0x | 39.0x | 37.4x | 30.8x | -12.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.5x | 3.1x | 4.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 1.5x | 4.2x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.3x | 1.4x | 1.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 1,744 | 1,744 | 1,744 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,330 | 2,453 | 2,576 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,841.5 | 4,841.5 | 4,841.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.53 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.39 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 4.8% | 10.3% | 15.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | S32 | IGO | SFR | FCX_KZ | ANFG.F | NM5 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,173 | 3,220 | 3,407 | 57,234 | 26,914 | 2,223 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,488.4 | 755.8 | 459.1 | 1,271.9 | 985.9 | 4,841.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.04 | 4.26 | 7.42 | 45.00 | 27.30 | 0.46 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.66 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.18 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.12 | 4.26 | 11.33 | 45.00 | 27.30 | 0.39 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.66 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.18 | |