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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Fair Value | €5.63 - €6.22 | €5.92 |
| Upside | 20.7% - 33.4% | 27.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Deufol SE | - | HMSE:DE10 |
| Deutsche Post AG | - | XTRA:DHL |
| MaltaPost p.l.c. | - | MTSE:MTP |
| PostNL N.V. | - | DB:TNTC |
| Österreichische Post AG | - | XTRA:O3P |
| Müller - Die lila Logistik SE | - | DB:MLL |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| DE10 | DHL | MTP | TNTC | O3P | MLL | |||
| HMSE:DE10 | XTRA:DHL | MTSE:MTP | DB:TNTC | XTRA:O3P | DB:MLL | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 11.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | -2.1% | 7.5% | 22.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 14.0% | -4.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | -3.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.0x | 8.3x | 4.4x | 10.2x | 8.5x | 9.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.2x | 0.5x | 0.9x | 0.1x | 0.6x | 0.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -13.1x | 12.9x | 12.7x | 25.1x | 14.6x | 9.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.5x | 0.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 249 | 249 | 249 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 44 | 47 | 49 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.56 | 5.85 | 6.15 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.56 | 5.85 | 6.15 | 4.66 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 19.3% | 25.6% | 31.9% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DE10 | DHL | MTP | TNTC | O3P | MLL | |
| Value of Common Equity | 48 | 42,979 | 37 | 452 | 2,013 | 37 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8.5 | 1,145.8 | 80.3 | 502.1 | 67.6 | 8.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.70 | 37.51 | 0.46 | 0.90 | 29.80 | 4.66 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.70 | 37.51 | 0.46 | 0.90 | 29.80 | 4.66 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |