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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12.2x - 13.5x | 12.8x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11.9x - 13.2x | 12.6x |
Fair Value | €10.24 - €13.51 | €11.87 |
Upside | -18.7% - 7.2% | -5.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Hanesbrands Inc. | HBI | NYSE:HBI |
Fossil Group, Inc. | FOSL | NasdaqGS:FOSL |
Vera Bradley, Inc. | VRA | NasdaqGS:VRA |
Under Armour, Inc. | UAA | NYSE:UAA |
lululemon athletica inc. | LULU | NasdaqGS:LULU |
Capri Holdings Limited | MKO | DB:MKO |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
HBI | FOSL | VRA | UAA | LULU | MKO | ||
NYSE:HBI | NasdaqGS:FOSL | NasdaqGS:VRA | NYSE:UAA | NasdaqGS:LULU | DB:MKO | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -13.0% | NM- | NM- | -2.2% | 22.9% | -12.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -20.7% | NM- | NM- | -16.9% | 22.7% | -0.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 42.0% | 74.9% | -166.5% | -3.0% | 14.0% | -43.6% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.7% | 0.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 25.4% | 15.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.9% | -5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 26.9% | 17.8% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.6% | -1.6% | -5.3% | 6.6% | 27.9% | 11.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 14.6% | -1.6% | -5.3% | 7.0% | 27.9% | 7.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.11x | 0.20x | 0.31x | 0.56x | 2.92x | 0.96x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | -12.5x | -5.8x | 7.9x | 10.5x | 13.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | -6.7x | -3.8x | 12.5x | 12.3x | 30.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -12.5x | 7.6x | 10.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 8.8x | 20.3x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.2x | 12.8x | 13.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 342 | 342 | 342 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,175 | 4,394 | 4,614 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,764) | (2,764) | (2,764) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,411 | 1,630 | 1,850 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 117.9 | 117.9 | 117.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 11.96 | 13.83 | 15.69 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.60 | 12.25 | 13.90 | 12.60 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -15.8% | -2.7% | 10.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HBI | FOSL | VRA | UAA | LULU | MKO | |
Enterprise Value | 3,744 | 230 | 110 | 3,046 | 30,431 | 4,440 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 215 | 125 | 30 | 727 | 1,984 | 356 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (2,551) | (316) | (90) | (1,305) | (1,576) | (3,117) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (3) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,568 | 51 | 50 | 2,467 | 30,840 | 1,676 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 353.1 | 53.3 | 27.7 | 429.9 | 120.6 | 117.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.44 | 0.97 | 1.82 | 5.74 | 255.64 | 14.22 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.44 | 0.97 | 1.82 | 5.74 | 255.64 | 12.60 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 |