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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
| Fair Value | €3.26 - €3.61 | €3.43 |
| Upside | -22.2% - -14.0% | -18.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Ocado Group plc | - | LSE:OCDO |
| Colruyt Group N.V. | - | LSE:0N4Y |
| Walmart Inc. | - | LSE:0R1W |
| Kesko Oyj | - | LSE:0BNT |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. | - | LSE:0EXG |
| Marks and Spencer Group plc | - | DB:MA6 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| OCDO | 0N4Y | 0R1W | 0BNT | 0EXG | MA6 | |||
| LSE:OCDO | LSE:0N4Y | LSE:0R1W | LSE:0BNT | LSE:0EXG | DB:MA6 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -7.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 12.4% | 4.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -21.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 17.0% | 12.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -12.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -16.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -24.8% | 9.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -24.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 33.7x | 5.8x | 17.5x | 12.6x | 8.8x | 6.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.0x | 0.4x | 1.0x | 0.6x | 0.4x | 0.5x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -8.0x | 13.3x | 35.1x | 19.7x | 20.7x | 14.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.6x | 2.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.4x | 0.4x | 0.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 13,387 | 13,387 | 13,387 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,618 | 5,914 | 6,210 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,022.5 | 2,022.5 | 2,022.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.78 | 2.92 | 3.07 | |||||
| FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.32 | 3.50 | 3.67 | 4.19 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -20.7% | -16.5% | -12.4% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | OCDO | 0N4Y | 0R1W | 0BNT | 0EXG | MA6 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,423 | 4,720 | 656,981 | 7,499 | 12,283 | 7,085 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 823.4 | 124.5 | 11,023.2 | 398.0 | 628.4 | 2,022.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.94 | 37.91 | 59.60 | 18.85 | 19.55 | 3.50 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.94 | 37.91 | 59.60 | 18.85 | 19.55 | 4.19 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | EUR | USD | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |