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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 9.8% - 8.8% | 9.3% |
| Perpetuity Growth Rate | 3.8% - 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Fair Value | €23.44 - €31.91 | €26.83 |
| Upside | -8.4% - 24.7% | 4.8% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
| (EUR in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Sep-24 | Sep-25 | Sep-26 | Sep-27 | Sep-28 | Sep-29 | |
| Revenue | 17 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | |
| % Growth | -2.1% | -59.3% | 37.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
| EBITDA | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | |
| % of Revenue | 24.2% | 28.0% | 35.5% | 35.5% | 35.5% | 35.5% | |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
| (EUR in millions) | Sep-25 | Sep-26 | Sep-27 | Sep-28 | Sep-29 | Terminal | |
| EBITDA | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D&A | (1) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (1) | |
| EBIT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
| NOPAT | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Capital Expenditures | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) |
| NWC Investment | 0 | 1 | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
| (+) D&A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Free Cash Flow | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| % Growth | -48% | 27% | 18% | 2% | 2% | -11% | |