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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 23.1x - 25.6x | 24.4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.3x - 15.8x | 15.0x |
Fair Value | €0.045 - €0.57 | €0.30 |
Upside | -85.5% - 84.5% | -2.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
The Home Depot, Inc. | HD | NYSE:HD |
Lowe's Companies, Inc. | LOW | NYSE:LOW |
Amazon.com, Inc. | AMZN | NasdaqGS:AMZN |
Tilly's, Inc. | TLYS | NYSE:TLYS |
1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. | FLWS | NasdaqGS:FLWS |
Leslie's, Inc. | LE3 | DB:LE3 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
HD | LOW | AMZN | TLYS | FLWS | LE3 | ||
NYSE:HD | NYSE:LOW | NasdaqGS:AMZN | NYSE:TLYS | NasdaqGS:FLWS | DB:LE3 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.3% | 10.6% | 36.4% | NM- | -22.9% | -11.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -2.2% | -4.2% | 40.2% | NM- | -57.1% | -32.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.7% | -4.0% | 40.1% | -62.5% | -267.5% | -53.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 11.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 14.2% | 13.5% | 6.4% | -4.4% | 1.4% | 8.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | -8.0% | 0.7% | 5.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | -8.6% | -2.9% | 3.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.70x | 2.01x | 3.47x | 0.36x | 0.32x | 0.87x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.2x | 13.4x | 17.4x | -5.7x | 125.1x | 14.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 20.4x | 15.9x | 30.5x | -4.2x | -11.2x | 24.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -11.2x | 15.9x | 30.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 17.7x | 20.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 23.1x | 24.4x | 25.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 47 | 47 | 47 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,082 | 1,139 | 1,196 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,088) | (1,088) | (1,088) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 0 | 51 | 108 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 185.6 | 185.6 | 185.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.58 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.50 | 0.31 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -100.0% | -22.6% | 63.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HD | LOW | AMZN | TLYS | FLWS | LE3 | |
Enterprise Value | 439,471 | 166,976 | 2,313,719 | 203 | 549 | 1,154 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,369 | 3,054 | 93,180 | 37 | 85 | 17 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 9,900 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (61,952) | (38,994) | (159,570) | (190) | (279) | (1,105) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 378,888 | 131,036 | 2,257,229 | 51 | 357 | 66 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 994.9 | 560.4 | 10,664.9 | 30.2 | 63.6 | 185.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 380.82 | 233.81 | 211.65 | 1.68 | 5.62 | 0.36 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 380.82 | 233.81 | 211.65 | 1.68 | 5.62 | 0.31 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |