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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.3% | 0.0% |
Discount Rate | 15.3% - 14.2% | 14.8% |
Fair Value | €6.13 - €6.70 | €6.36 |
Upside | -33.8% - -27.6% | -31.2% |
Project Adjusted Dividends | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | ||||||||
(JPY in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
Net Income to Common | 230,437 | 206,377 | 179,080 | 191,194 | 204,338 | 234,605 | 234,605 | |
% Growth | -3.4% | -10.4% | -13.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 14.8% | ||
Payout Ratio | 25.0% | 38.0% | 51.0% | 64.0% | 77.0% | 90.0% | 92.5% | |
Projected Dividends | 57,595 | 78,423 | 91,331 | 122,364 | 157,340 | 211,144 | 217,009 | |
% Growth | 36.2% | 16.5% | 34.0% | 28.6% | 34.2% |
Historical Performance | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | YTD | YTD | ||||||
(JPY in millions) | Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | |
Cash Dividends Paid | 43,853 | 48,333 | 51,466 | 54,483 | 57,595 | 28,207 | 28,744 | |
% Growth | 10% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | |||
Net Income to Common | 128,520 | 175,632 | 156,472 | 238,455 | 230,437 | 72,922 | 41,346 | |
% Growth | 37% | -11% | 52% | -3% | -43% | |||
Payout Ratio | 34% | 28% | 33% | 23% | 25% | 39% | 70% | |
Retention Ratio | 66% | 72% | 67% | 77% | 75% | 61% | 30% | |
Adjusted EBITDA | 223,239 | 286,297 | 264,382 | 399,574 | 403,395 | 131,222 | 92,890 | |
% Growth | 28% | -8% | 51% | 1% | -29% | |||
Total Debt | 916,564 | 1,141,972 | 1,663,481 | 2,048,216 | 2,342,802 | 2,163,629 | 2,223,483 | |
Shareholder's Equity | 1,476,039 | 1,677,957 | 1,874,490 | 2,175,773 | 2,477,314 | 2,321,530 | 2,399,314 | |
Debt / EBITDA | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 6.1 | ||
Debt / Equity | 62% | 68% | 89% | 94% | 95% | 93% | 93% | |
3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth | 6.0% | |||||||
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio | 27.5% |