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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 107.3x - 118.6x | 113.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 22.6x - 24.9x | 23.8x |
Fair Value | €0.087 - €0.11 | €0.099 |
Upside | -24.9% - -4.0% | -14.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Continental Aktiengesellschaft | CON | DB:CON |
Aisin Corporation | AKN | DB:AKN |
BorgWarner Inc. | BGW | DB:BGW |
DENSO Corporation | DNO | DB:DNO |
Dana Incorporated | 4DH | DB:4DH |
Kongsberg Automotive ASA | K3A | DB:K3A |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
CON | AKN | BGW | DNO | 4DH | K3A | ||
DB:CON | DB:AKN | DB:BGW | DB:DNO | DB:4DH | DB:K3A | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -6.0% | 16.3% | 1.4% | 50.0% | -11.8% | -32.3% | |
3Y CAGR | 12.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 11.6% | -3.1% | -42.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2.8% | 49.0% | 0.8% | 24.3% | -10.0% | -86.0% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.3% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.9% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 4.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 0.41x | 0.73x | 0.77x | 0.53x | 0.32x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.6x | 4.2x | 5.3x | 6.3x | 7.3x | 10.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 10.3x | 9.3x | 7.9x | 11.0x | 17.2x | 137.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 7.9x | 10.3x | 17.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -125.9x | 12.7x | 42.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 107.3x | 113.0x | 118.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 193 | 203 | 214 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (132) | (132) | (132) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 61 | 71 | 81 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 929.4 | 929.4 | 929.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -43.3% | -33.8% | -24.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CON | AKN | BGW | DNO | 4DH | K3A | |
Enterprise Value | 21,440 | 2,018,945 | 10,126 | 5,507,117 | 5,231 | 240 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,991 | 492,703 | 2,041 | 1,137,269 | 507 | 74 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 125 | 74,930 | 310 | 120,478 | 127 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (8,518) | (662,464) | (4,077) | (859,003) | (3,081) | (203) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (378) | (254,908) | (146) | (187,718) | (256) | (3) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 14,660 | 1,669,206 | 8,254 | 5,718,143 | 2,528 | 107 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 200.0 | 746.4 | 216.4 | 2,733.5 | 145.7 | 929.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 73.30 | 2,236.40 | 38.14 | 2,091.89 | 17.35 | 0.12 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 172.03 | 1.16 | 172.03 | 1.16 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 73.30 | 13.00 | 32.76 | 12.16 | 14.90 | 0.12 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 172.03 | 1.16 | 172.03 | 1.16 | 1.00 |