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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.8% - 10.8% | 11.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
Fair Value | €2.64 - €2.94 | €2.79 |
Upside | 62.0% - 80.6% | 71.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 39 | 37 | 39 | 40 | 43 | 47 |
% Growth | 2.0% | -5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% |
EBITDA | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
% of Revenue | 2.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 7 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
D&A | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) | |
EBIT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (0) | (0) | (1) | (1) | |
NOPAT | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) |
NWC Investment | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
(+) D&A | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Free Cash Flow | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
% Growth | 111% | 88% | 33% | 29% | 40% |