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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 1.0% | 0.5% |
Fair Value | €53.57 - €66.25 | €59.07 |
Upside | 6.7% - 32.0% | 17.7% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Jul-24 | Jul-25 | Jul-26 | Jul-27 | Jul-28 | Jul-29 | |
Revenue | 1,206 | 1,225 | 1,230 | 1,245 | 1,284 | 1,290 | |
% Growth | -2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | |
EBITDA | 77 | 130 | 144 | 159 | 162 | 171 | |
% of Revenue | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(USD in millions) | Jul-25 | Jul-26 | Jul-27 | Jul-28 | Jul-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 130 | 144 | 159 | 162 | 171 | 171 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (21) | (21) | (22) | (21) | (21) | (21) | |
EBIT | 109 | 123 | 137 | 141 | 150 | 150 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (24) | (27) | (30) | (31) | (33) | (33) | |
NOPAT | 54 | 85 | 96 | 107 | 110 | 117 | 117 |
Capital Expenditures | (19) | (21) | (21) | (21) | (22) | (22) | (22) |
NWC Investment | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 8 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Free Cash Flow | 42 | 85 | 96 | 108 | 110 | 116 | 116 |
% Growth | 102% | 12% | 12% | 2% | 6% | 0% |