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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.1x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.2x - 0.2x | 0.2x |
| Fair Value | €6.43 - €7.11 | €6.77 |
| Upside | 26.1% - 39.4% | 32.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| ENEOS Holdings, Inc. | 502,000.0% | TSE:5020 |
| Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited | 50,010,400.0% | BSE:500104 |
| Indian Oil Corporation Limited | 53,096,500.0% | BSE:530965 |
| TotalEnergies SE | - | OTCPK:TTFN.F |
| PetroChina Company Limited | 85,700.0% | SEHK:857 |
| Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd. | - | DB:I7B |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 5020 | 500104 | 530965 | TTFN.F | 857 | I7B | |||
| TSE:5020 | BSE:500104 | BSE:530965 | OTCPK:TTFN.F | SEHK:857 | DB:I7B | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 8.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 11.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -11.1% | 0.0% | -2.4% | -9.9% | -6.9% | 5.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | 7.8x | 8.0x | 3.6x | 3.1x | 6.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.7x | 0.5x | 0.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -547.7x | 13.3x | 14.8x | 9.8x | 9.3x | 10.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.3x | 0.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.2x | 0.2x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.1x | 0.2x | 0.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 9,190,225 | 9,190,225 | 9,190,225 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,363,040 | 1,434,779 | 1,506,518 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,224.6 | 1,224.6 | 1,224.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1,113.02 | 1,171.60 | 1,230.18 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 169.2 | 169.2 | 169.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.58 | 6.92 | 7.27 | 5.10 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 28.9% | 35.7% | 42.5% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 5020 | 500104 | 530965 | TTFN.F | 857 | I7B | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,915,813 | 894,217 | 2,013,402 | 135,447 | 1,692,353 | 1,057,050 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,690.4 | 2,127.8 | 13,771.6 | 2,213.2 | 273,222.9 | 1,224.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 712.10 | 420.25 | 146.20 | 61.20 | 6.19 | 863.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 169.25 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 712.10 | 420.25 | 146.20 | 61.20 | 6.78 | 5.10 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | INR | INR | USD | HKD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 169.25 | |
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