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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 1.4x - 3.4x | 2.4x |
Fair Value | €4.85 - €7.26 | €6.03 |
Upside | 26.2% - 89.2% | 57.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 30 | 36 | 40 | 43 | 45 | 46 |
% Growth | 29.1% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
% of Revenue | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
EBIT | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
NOPAT | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
NWC Investment | (3) | (2) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Free Cash Flow | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
% Growth | 1182% | 129% | 39% | 17% | 7% |