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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 10.3x - 11.4x | 10.8x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 13.2x - 14.6x | 13.9x |
Fair Value | €11.99 - €13.25 | €12.62 |
Upside | -27.5% - -19.8% | -23.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
EVN AG | - | DB:EVN |
Endesa, S.A. | - | BME:ELE |
AB Ignitis grupe | - | NSEL:IGN1L |
PG&E Corporation | - | BRSE:PCG |
Energa SA | - | WSE:ENG |
Fortum Oyj | - | DB:FOT |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
EVN | ELE | IGN1L | PCG | ENG | FOT | |||
DB:EVN | BME:ELE | NSEL:IGN1L | BRSE:PCG | WSE:ENG | DB:FOT | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.3% | 61.7% | 37.3% | NM- | NM- | -4.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 13.2% | 9.6% | 19.9% | NM- | -32.0% | -33.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 4.3% | 395.2% | -22.6% | -2.3% | 171.6% | -26.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.9% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | -5.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 13.9% | 3.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 22.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 1.5% | 20.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 15.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 1.7% | 19.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.3x | 7.7x | 6.1x | 9.7x | 5.6x | 9.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.3x | 1.3x | 0.6x | 1.2x | 0.2x | 2.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 8.3x | 12.2x | 6.2x | 13.0x | 14.6x | 14.0x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 6.2x | 12.2x | 14.6x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 6.1x | 7.6x | 9.9x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 10.3x | 10.8x | 11.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 1,056 | 1,056 | 1,056 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 10,850 | 11,421 | 11,992 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 897.3 | 897.3 | 897.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 12.09 | 12.73 | 13.37 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.09 | 12.73 | 13.37 | 16.54 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -26.9% | -23.0% | -19.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | EVN | ELE | IGN1L | PCG | ENG | FOT | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,350 | 26,711 | 1,488 | 50,535 | 5,275 | 14,836 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 178.3 | 1,058.3 | 72.4 | 2,197.7 | 414.1 | 897.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 24.40 | 25.24 | 20.55 | 22.99 | 12.74 | 16.54 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 24.40 | 25.24 | 20.55 | 18.52 | 12.74 | 16.54 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | CHF | PLN | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.00 | 1.00 |