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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 11.2x - 12.4x | 11.8x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 9.5x - 10.5x | 10.0x |
Fair Value | €80.79 - €89.30 | €85.05 |
Upside | -10.9% - -1.5% | -6.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:PANW |
Nutanix, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:NTNX |
Commvault Systems, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CVLT |
Datadog, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:DDOG |
SentinelOne, Inc. | - | NYSE:S |
Fortinet, Inc. | - | DB:FO8 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
PANW | NTNX | CVLT | DDOG | S | FO8 | |||
NasdaqGS:PANW | NasdaqGS:NTNX | NasdaqGS:CVLT | NasdaqGS:DDOG | NYSE:S | DB:FO8 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 22.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 49.2% | 77.6% | 22.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 23.6% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 37.7% | 58.9% | 21.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.9% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 25.5% | 32.2% | 13.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.5% | -39.8% | 4.0% | -0.2% | -89.9% | 20.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.4% | -13.7% | 20.1% | 2.3% | -54.5% | 21.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 32.1% | -5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | -35.1% | 29.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.9% | -2.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | -35.1% | 30.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 81.9x | 133.4x | 75.9x | 476.7x | -18.1x | 36.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 14.0x | 9.2x | 7.7x | 13.9x | 8.0x | 12.9x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 100.6x | -384.2x | 101.1x | 238.5x | -22.7x | 42.0x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 7.7x | 9.2x | 14.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 8.7x | 9.8x | 18.8x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 11.2x | 11.8x | 12.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 6,142 | 6,142 | 6,142 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 68,669 | 72,284 | 75,898 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 765.4 | 765.4 | 765.4 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 89.72 | 94.44 | 99.16 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 78.98 | 83.13 | 87.29 | 90.70 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -12.9% | -8.3% | -3.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PANW | NTNX | CVLT | DDOG | S | FO8 | |
Value of Common Equity | 124,525 | 21,269 | 7,697 | 39,529 | 6,542 | 78,863 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 666.8 | 266.7 | 44.1 | 345.4 | 331.0 | 765.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 186.75 | 79.76 | 174.43 | 114.46 | 19.76 | 103.03 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 186.75 | 79.76 | 174.43 | 114.46 | 19.76 | 90.70 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.14 |