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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 11.2x - 12.3x | 11.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 9.5x - 10.5x | 10.0x |
Fair Value | €78.19 - €86.42 | €82.30 |
Upside | -13.1% - -3.9% | -8.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Nutanix, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:NTNX |
Cadence Design Systems, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CDNS |
Commvault Systems, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:CVLT |
ServiceNow, Inc. | - | NYSE:NOW |
Datadog, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:DDOG |
Fortinet, Inc. | - | DB:FO8 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
NTNX | CDNS | CVLT | NOW | DDOG | FO8 | |||
NasdaqGS:NTNX | NasdaqGS:CDNS | NasdaqGS:CVLT | NYSE:NOW | NasdaqGS:DDOG | DB:FO8 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.7% | 14.7% | 8.2% | 26.0% | 49.2% | 22.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 15.5% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 23.0% | 37.7% | 21.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 16.1% | 19.5% | 18.6% | 21.1% | 25.5% | 13.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -36.3% | 25.5% | 4.0% | 9.7% | -0.2% | 20.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -13.7% | 25.5% | 20.1% | 19.3% | 2.3% | 21.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -5.8% | 22.7% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 29.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.0% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 5.8% | 30.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 89.5x | 51.6x | 72.8x | 87.6x | 619.8x | 37.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 8.2x | 18.2x | 7.4x | 17.1x | 17.9x | 13.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 840.0x | 82.0x | 97.1x | 124.5x | 305.4x | 42.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 7.4x | 17.1x | 18.2x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 8.7x | 9.8x | 18.8x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 11.2x | 11.7x | 12.3x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 6,142 | 6,142 | 6,142 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 68,510 | 72,115 | 75,721 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 765.4 | 765.4 | 765.4 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 89.51 | 94.22 | 98.93 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 76.31 | 80.33 | 84.35 | 89.96 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -15.2% | -10.7% | -6.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NTNX | CDNS | CVLT | NOW | DDOG | FO8 | |
Value of Common Equity | 19,838 | 88,640 | 7,390 | 206,726 | 50,615 | 80,761 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 268.1 | 273.0 | 44.5 | 207.5 | 345.4 | 765.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 74.00 | 324.64 | 165.97 | 996.18 | 146.56 | 105.51 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 74.00 | 324.64 | 165.97 | 996.18 | 146.56 | 89.96 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 |