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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 13.0x - 14.4x | 13.7x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.2x - 10.2x | 9.7x |
Fair Value | €35.51 - €39.89 | €37.70 |
Upside | -21.8% - -12.1% | -17.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Frequentis AG | FQT | WBAG:FQT |
Hensoldt AG | 1HENS | BIT:1HENS |
Airbus SE | 1AIR | BIT:1AIR |
Safran SA | SAF | ENXTPA:SAF |
Dassault Aviation société anonyme | AM | ENXTPA:AM |
Leonardo S.p.a. | FMNB | DB:FMNB |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
FQT | 1HENS | 1AIR | SAF | AM | FMNB | ||
WBAG:FQT | BIT:1HENS | BIT:1AIR | ENXTPA:SAF | ENXTPA:AM | DB:FMNB | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 12.6% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 1.1% | -6.2% | 3.5% | |
3Y CAGR | 4.6% | 8.6% | 0.4% | 27.5% | -0.5% | 11.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 28.0% | 25.6% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 32.6% | 20.0% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.5% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.27x | 4.97x | 1.58x | 3.76x | 1.93x | 1.62x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.5x | 43.2x | 15.8x | 19.6x | 18.1x | 15.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 18.7x | 65.8x | 22.9x | 25.8x | 23.2x | 20.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.5x | 18.1x | 43.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 6.6x | 11.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.0x | 13.7x | 14.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 1,872 | 1,872 | 1,872 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 24,350 | 25,631 | 26,913 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,509) | (3,509) | (3,509) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 20,841 | 22,122 | 23,404 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 576.4 | 576.4 | 576.4 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 36.15 | 38.38 | 40.60 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 36.15 | 38.38 | 40.60 | 45.41 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -20.4% | -15.5% | -10.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | FQT | 1HENS | 1AIR | SAF | AM | FMNB | |
Enterprise Value | 608 | 11,681 | 110,410 | 104,361 | 12,509 | 29,685 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 82 | 591 | 17,432 | 6,519 | 8,485 | 1,869 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 3 | 30 | 17,640 | 2,692 | 3,039 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (53) | (1,519) | (14,269) | (5,078) | (238) | (4,206) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (3) | (13) | (91) | (549) | 0 | (1,172) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 637 | 10,770 | 131,122 | 107,945 | 23,795 | 26,176 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 13.3 | 115.5 | 787.3 | 416.8 | 78.2 | 576.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 48.00 | 93.25 | 166.54 | 259.00 | 304.20 | 45.41 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 48.00 | 93.25 | 166.54 | 259.00 | 304.20 | 45.41 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |