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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | €206.14 - €227.84 | €216.99 |
Upside | 2.9% - 13.7% | 8.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
United Parcel Service, Inc. | - | NYSE:UPS |
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. | - | NYSE:EXPD |
Hub Group, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:HUBG |
Forward Air Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:FWRD |
Landstar System, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:LSTR |
FedEx Corporation | - | DB:FDX |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
UPS | EXPD | HUBG | FWRD | LSTR | FDX | |||
NYSE:UPS | NYSE:EXPD | NasdaqGS:HUBG | NasdaqGS:FWRD | NasdaqGS:LSTR | DB:FDX | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 4.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | -2.2% | -13.8% | -2.3% | 21.3% | -9.6% | -2.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.3% | 24.1% | -4.6% | 63.7% | -4.7% | 0.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | -3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | -32.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 7.6% | 2.7% | -30.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.3x | 13.3x | 7.7x | 13.7x | 16.6x | 8.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.0x | 1.5x | 0.6x | 0.3x | 1.0x | 0.6x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 14.8x | 19.1x | 20.7x | -1.1x | 27.8x | 13.8x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.3x | 1.0x | 1.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 0.6x | 1.1x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 87,926 | 87,926 | 87,926 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 57,119 | 60,125 | 63,131 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 239.6 | 239.6 | 239.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 238.39 | 250.94 | 263.49 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 203.66 | 214.38 | 225.10 | 200.30 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 1.7% | 7.0% | 12.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | UPS | EXPD | HUBG | FWRD | LSTR | FDX | |
Value of Common Equity | 86,695 | 16,067 | 2,165 | 840 | 5,003 | 56,177 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 846.8 | 136.9 | 61.2 | 30.4 | 34.9 | 239.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 102.38 | 117.32 | 35.35 | 27.60 | 143.16 | 234.46 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 102.38 | 117.32 | 35.35 | 27.60 | 143.16 | 200.30 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 |