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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 22.9x - 25.3x | 24.1x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14.9x - 16.5x | 15.7x |
Fair Value | €5.85 - €6.51 | €6.18 |
Upside | -7.3% - 3.2% | -2.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
GomSpace Group AB (publ) | GOMX | OM:GOMX |
AAC Clyde Space AB (publ) | AAC | OM:AAC |
Sarsys AB | SARS | NGM:SARS |
Saab AB (publ) | SAAB B | OM:SAABB |
AVTECH Sweden AB (publ) | AVT B | OM:AVTB |
W5 Solutions AB (publ) | EY7 | DB:EY7 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
GOMX | AAC | SARS | SAAB B | AVT B | EY7 | ||
OM:GOMX | OM:AAC | NGM:SARS | OM:SAABB | OM:AVTB | DB:EY7 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 14.0% | 33.8% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 21.0% | 113.9% | 39.9% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 65.7% | 1126.2% | -355.8% | 20.9% | 26.3% | -5.7% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -37.6% | -13.7% | -10.1% | 9.3% | 24.1% | 10.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -30.9% | -1.5% | -3.8% | 10.8% | 42.2% | 11.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -9.8% | 12.4% | -18.2% | 10.5% | 42.3% | 11.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -9.8% | 12.4% | -18.2% | 10.5% | 42.3% | 11.2% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 4.29x | 0.99x | 0.31x | 3.30x | 11.43x | 2.98x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -43.8x | 8.0x | -1.7x | 31.3x | 27.0x | 26.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -17.0x | 150.6x | -1.1x | 38.9x | 38.6x | -185.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -43.8x | 8.0x | 31.3x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.8x | 27.1x | 39.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.9x | 24.1x | 25.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 44 | 44 | 44 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,004 | 1,057 | 1,110 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (75) | (75) | (75) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 929 | 982 | 1,035 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 15.1 | 15.1 | 15.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 61.36 | 64.85 | 68.34 | ||||
FX Rate: SEK/EUR | 10.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.70 | 6.03 | 6.35 | 6.31 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -9.7% | -4.5% | 0.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | GOMX | AAC | SARS | SAAB B | AVT B | EY7 | |
Enterprise Value | 1,102 | 373 | 12 | 210,202 | 456 | 1,104 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 82 | 50 | 3 | 11,922 | 27 | 23 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4,688 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (102) | (5) | 0 | (10,387) | 0 | (98) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 1 | 0 | (309) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,083 | 418 | 15 | 216,116 | 483 | 1,029 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 140.7 | 5.9 | 14.0 | 535.3 | 56.5 | 15.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.70 | 71.00 | 1.04 | 403.75 | 8.56 | 67.92 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10.76 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.70 | 71.00 | 1.04 | 403.75 | 8.56 | 6.31 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 10.76 |