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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.5% - 9.5% | 10.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 3.1x - 5.1x | 4.1x |
Fair Value | €2.43 - €3.88 | €3.14 |
Upside | -52.9% - -24.9% | -39.2% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(SEK in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 388 | 515 | 582 | 655 | 906 | 1,044 |
% Growth | -1.6% | 32.8% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 38.3% | 15.2% |
EBITDA | -3 | 48 | 72 | 95 | 165 | 193 |
% of Revenue | -0.8% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 18.5% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(SEK in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 48 | 72 | 95 | 165 | 193 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (26) | (24) | (33) | (22) | (26) | |
EBIT | 22 | 48 | 62 | 143 | 167 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (5) | (10) | (13) | (30) | (35) | |
NOPAT | (23) | 17 | 38 | 49 | 113 | 132 |
Capital Expenditures | (2) | (3) | (3) | (4) | (36) | (39) |
NWC Investment | 2 | (31) | (17) | (18) | (62) | (34) |
(+) D&A | 27 | 26 | 24 | 33 | 22 | 26 |
Free Cash Flow | 3 | 9 | 42 | 60 | 37 | 85 |
% Growth | 224% | 376% | 42% | -38% | 130% |