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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 8.5x - 9.4x | 8.9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7.6x - 8.4x | 8.0x |
Fair Value | €23.72 - €28.50 | €26.11 |
Upside | 10.8% - 33.2% | 22.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
PORR AG | POS | WBAG:POS |
Koninklijke Heijmans N.V. | HEIJM | ENXTAM:HEIJM |
Koninklijke BAM Groep nv | BAMNB | ENXTAM:BAMNB |
Fugro N.V. | FUR | ENXTAM:FUR |
Compagnie d'Entreprises CFE SA | CFEB | ENXTBR:CFEB |
Eiffage SA | EF30 | DB:EF30 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
POS | HEIJM | BAMNB | FUR | CFEB | EF30 | ||
WBAG:POS | ENXTAM:HEIJM | ENXTAM:BAMNB | ENXTAM:FUR | ENXTBR:CFEB | DB:EF30 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 32.2% | 30.5% | 56.9% | -27.1% | 4.2% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | 7.4% | 22.6% | 78.7% | -15.8% | 9.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5958.3% | 64.6% | -13.7% | 25.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -0.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 11.3% | 2.1% | 10.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 10.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 13.6% | 2.4% | 10.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.37x | 0.11x | 0.66x | 0.05x | 0.82x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.1x | 7.0x | 4.1x | 3.6x | 1.2x | 5.6x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 8.6x | 5.3x | 4.8x | 2.2x | 8.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.2x | 5.3x | 10.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.2x | 8.9x | 15.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 8.9x | 9.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 2,408 | 2,408 | 2,408 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 20,406 | 21,480 | 22,554 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9,702) | (9,702) | (9,702) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 10,704 | 11,778 | 12,852 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 446.6 | 446.6 | 446.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 23.97 | 26.37 | 28.78 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 23.97 | 26.37 | 28.78 | 21.40 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 12.0% | 23.2% | 34.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | POS | HEIJM | BAMNB | FUR | CFEB | EF30 | |
Enterprise Value | 909 | 954 | 732 | 1,501 | 60 | 19,258 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 637 | 105 | 765 | 319 | 174 | 6,025 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 85 | 106 | 179 | 64 | 176 | 2,406 | |
(-) Debt | (592) | (115) | (323) | (416) | (216) | (16,699) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (28) | 0 | (0) | (17) | (0) | (1,434) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,010 | 1,050 | 1,353 | 1,452 | 194 | 9,556 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 38.1 | 27.5 | 263.5 | 110.5 | 24.8 | 446.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 26.55 | 38.20 | 5.14 | 13.14 | 7.84 | 21.40 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 26.55 | 38.20 | 5.14 | 13.14 | 7.84 | 21.40 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |