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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12.6x - 13.9x | 13.3x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.1x - 12.3x | 11.7x |
Fair Value | €35.58 - €42.67 | €39.12 |
Upside | 22.1% - 46.5% | 34.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
United Internet AG | UTDI | XTRA:UTDI |
Telefónica, S.A. | TNE5 | XTRA:TNE5 |
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. | PMV | DB:PMV |
Koninklijke KPN N.V. | KPN | DB:KPN |
Telefónica Deutschland Holding AG | O2D | HMSE:O2D |
Deutsche Telekom AG | DTE | DB:DTE |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
UTDI | TNE5 | PMV | KPN | O2D | DTE | ||
XTRA:UTDI | XTRA:TNE5 | DB:PMV | DB:KPN | HMSE:O2D | DB:DTE | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -3.7% | -3.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | NM- | 18.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -6.9% | 25.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 184.2% | 21.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -12.2% | 59.4% | 21.3% | -0.8% | 66.7% | 9.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.5% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 23.0% | 1.4% | 15.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.1% | 5.7% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 3.5% | 19.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 25.2% | 5.8% | 20.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 9.5% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 24.1% | 5.8% | 21.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.25x | 1.42x | 2.11x | 3.84x | 1.14x | 2.41x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 6.8x | 6.0x | 9.6x | 5.8x | 7.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 13.2x | 13.5x | 12.6x | 15.9x | 19.5x | 11.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 13.5x | 19.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 12.7x | 17.6x | 22.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 13.3x | 13.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 25,618 | 25,618 | 25,618 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 323,066 | 340,069 | 357,073 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (151,659) | (151,659) | (151,659) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 171,407 | 188,410 | 205,414 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 4,775.3 | 4,775.3 | 4,775.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 35.89 | 39.45 | 43.02 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 35.89 | 39.45 | 43.02 | 29.13 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 23.2% | 35.4% | 47.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | UTDI | TNE5 | PMV | KPN | O2D | DTE | |
Enterprise Value | 8,062 | 58,791 | 3,729 | 21,971 | 6,015 | 290,764 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 54 | 6,550 | 8 | 374 | 0 | 10,441 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 204 | 8,585 | 47 | 792 | 0 | 9,031 | |
(-) Debt | (3,193) | (44,695) | (1,789) | (7,154) | 0 | (140,305) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (419) | (3,691) | (8) | (45) | 0 | (30,826) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,708 | 25,540 | 1,988 | 15,938 | 6,015 | 139,105 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 172.8 | 5,637.9 | 511.7 | 3,851.6 | 2,974.6 | 4,775.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 27.24 | 4.53 | 3.89 | 4.14 | 2.02 | 29.13 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 27.24 | 4.53 | 3.89 | 4.14 | 2.02 | 29.13 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |