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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 17.2x - 19.0x | 18.1x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 12.7x - 14.1x | 13.4x |
Fair Value | €77.64 - €85.81 | €81.72 |
Upside | -12.2% - -3.0% | -7.6% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Avery Dennison Corporation | - | NYSE:AVY |
Sonoco Products Company | - | NYSE:SON |
Ball Corporation | - | NYSE:BALL |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company | - | NYSE:GPK |
Silgan Holdings Inc. | - | NYSE:SLGN |
Crown Holdings, Inc. | - | DB:CWN |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
AVY | SON | BALL | GPK | SLGN | CWN | |||
NYSE:AVY | NYSE:SON | NYSE:BALL | NYSE:GPK | NYSE:SLGN | DB:CWN | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 18.3% | -25.3% | -5.6% | 26.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | -1.6% | NM- | -21.5% | 47.8% | -8.4% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 26.1% | -69.3% | 20.6% | -9.0% | -6.4% | 32.5% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.9% | 4.3% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 8.1% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 8.0% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.9x | 11.7x | 11.7x | 7.4x | 11.0x | 9.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.6x | 0.7x | 1.3x | 0.7x | 1.0x | 1.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 19.6x | 52.1x | 29.6x | 10.3x | 20.0x | 21.5x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 10.3x | 20.0x | 52.1x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -27.6x | 22.6x | 99.7x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 17.2x | 18.1x | 19.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 550 | 550 | 550 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 9,438 | 9,935 | 10,432 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 115.1 | 115.1 | 115.1 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 82.03 | 86.35 | 90.66 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 71.21 | 74.96 | 78.70 | 88.46 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -19.5% | -15.3% | -11.0% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AVY | SON | BALL | GPK | SLGN | CWN | |
Value of Common Equity | 13,718 | 4,246 | 15,599 | 6,379 | 5,771 | 11,725 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 78.2 | 98.6 | 277.4 | 301.8 | 107.0 | 115.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 175.48 | 43.05 | 56.23 | 21.14 | 53.94 | 101.90 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.15 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 175.48 | 43.05 | 56.23 | 21.14 | 53.94 | 88.46 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.15 |