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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.5% - 10.5% | 11.0% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 7.8% - 8.8% | 8.3% |
Fair Value | €20.60 - €21.07 | €20.75 |
Upside | 21.2% - 23.9% | 22.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
Revenue | 453 | 442 | 446 | 446 | 446 | 446 | |
% Growth | -20.6% | -2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
EBITDA | -79 | -67 | -66 | NA | NA | NA | |
% of Revenue | -17.5% | -15.1% | -14.7% | NA | NA | NA |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | (67) | (66) | NA | NA | NA | NA | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | |
D&A | (25) | (26) | (26) | (26) | (26) | (10) | |
EBIT | (92) | (92) | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | |
Pro forma Taxes | 0 | 0 | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | #NUM! | |
NOPAT | (78) | (92) | (92) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Capital Expenditures | (7) | (10) | (11) | (11) | (11) | (11) | (11) |
NWC Investment | (6) | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
(+) D&A | 13 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 10 |
Free Cash Flow | (78) | (78) | (76) | 15 | 15 | 15 | 1 |
% Growth | NM | NM | NM | 0% | 0% | -90% |