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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.6x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | €0.034 - €0.046 | €0.040 |
Upside | -55.1% - -38.4% | -46.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Hai Leck Holdings Limited | BLH | SGX:BLH |
Mencast Holdings Ltd. | 5NF | Catalist:5NF |
Annica Holdings Limited | 5AL | Catalist:5AL |
Kim Heng Limited | 5G2 | Catalist:5G2 |
AMOS Group Limited | 49B | SGX:49B |
CosmoSteel Holdings Limited | CMR | DB:CMR |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
BLH | 5NF | 5AL | 5G2 | 49B | CMR | |||
SGX:BLH | Catalist:5NF | Catalist:5AL | Catalist:5G2 | SGX:49B | DB:CMR | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -8.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 16.1% | -10.5% | -4.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | -15.0% | 5.2% | 18.1% | 24.7% | -11.8% | 22.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -22.7% | 10.5% | -20.3% | 21.3% | -30.8% | 20.8% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.6% | 3.4% | -11.9% | 5.1% | -13.6% | 4.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 8.5% | -4.8% | 12.6% | -8.8% | 5.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 11.0% | -3.5% | 3.3% | -16.1% | -4.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 10.9% | 11.0% | -3.5% | 3.3% | -17.8% | -1.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 1.16x | 1.57x | 0.98x | 0.41x | 0.76x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 8.2x | 10.6x | -45.5x | 30.3x | -2.3x | -44.8x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.35x | 0.22x | 1.53x | 0.39x | 0.22x | 0.35x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.41x | 0.98x | 1.57x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.32x | 0.39x | 0.53x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.59x | 0.62x | 0.65x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 91 | 91 | 91 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 54 | 57 | 59 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (38) | (38) | (38) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 16 | 19 | 22 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 294.5 | 294.5 | 294.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.07 | |||||
FX Rate: SGD/EUR | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -51.2% | -42.7% | -34.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | BLH | 5NF | 5AL | 5G2 | 49B | CMR | |
Enterprise Value | 46 | (9) | 20 | 121 | 26 | 71 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 69 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 11 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (4) | (59) | (2) | (73) | (17) | (53) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (2) | (0) | (8) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 122 | 12 | 19 | 48 | 14 | 33 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 226.2 | 461.2 | 19,260.5 | 704.9 | 208.3 | 294.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.54 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.11 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.49 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.54 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | |
Trading Currency | SGD | SGD | SGD | SGD | SGD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.49 |