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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 21.8x - 24.1x | 22.9x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 17.7x - 19.6x | 18.6x |
Fair Value | €3.81 - €4.21 | €4.01 |
Upside | 37.0% - 51.4% | 44.2% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited | 16,800.0% | SEHK:168 |
Heineken N.V. | - | OTCPK:HINK.F |
Carlsberg A/S | - | OTCPK:CABJ.F |
Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. | 250,200.0% | TSE:2502 |
Kirin Holdings Company, Limited | 250,300.0% | TSE:2503 |
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited | - | DB:CHK |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
168 | HINK.F | CABJ.F | 2502 | 2503 | CHK | |||
SEHK:168 | OTCPK:HINK.F | OTCPK:CABJ.F | TSE:2502 | TSE:2503 | DB:CHK | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 18.6% | -14.7% | 0.9% | 6.2% | -0.5% | 29.3% | ||
3Y CAGR | 11.4% | -33.5% | -1.3% | 7.8% | -0.9% | 1.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 1.2% | -57.6% | -1.5% | 13.0% | -57.4% | -8.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 11.6% | 7.9% | -1.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 11.3% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 13.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 13.5% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 12.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.7% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 12.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.8x | 9.9x | 10.1x | 9.9x | 8.9x | 11.1x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.4x | 1.4x | 1.6x | 1.0x | 0.7x | 2.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 17.8x | 43.8x | 17.7x | 15.6x | 29.1x | 16.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 15.6x | 17.8x | 43.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 16.3x | 37.0x | 107.9x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 21.8x | 22.9x | 24.1x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 4,739 | 4,739 | 4,739 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 103,190 | 108,621 | 114,052 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,244.2 | 3,244.2 | 3,244.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 31.81 | 33.48 | 35.16 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/EUR | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.77 | 3.97 | 4.17 | 2.78 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 35.8% | 42.9% | 50.0% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 168 | HINK.F | CABJ.F | 2502 | 2503 | CHK | |
Value of Common Equity | 81,604 | 42,482 | 130,353 | 2,915,531 | 1,639,017 | 76,015 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,730.2 | 559.5 | 146.7 | 1,502.9 | 810.0 | 3,244.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 47.17 | 75.93 | 888.51 | 1,940.00 | 2,023.50 | 23.43 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.91 | 0.85 | 6.35 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.43 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 51.65 | 89.28 | 140.00 | 1,940.00 | 2,023.50 | 2.78 | |
Trading Currency | HKD | USD | USD | JPY | JPY | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.91 | 0.85 | 6.35 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 8.43 |