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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.3% | 0.0% |
Discount Rate | 11.4% - 10.4% | 10.9% |
Fair Value | €0.89 - €0.99 | €0.93 |
Upside | -43.8% - -37.3% | -41.2% |
Project Adjusted Dividends | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | ||||||||
(CNY in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
Net Income to Common | 49,100 | 29,707 | 20,517 | 16,982 | 17,322 | 17,668 | 17,668 | |
% Growth | 105.8% | -39.5% | -30.9% | -17.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | ||
Payout Ratio | 28.5% | 41.0% | 53.0% | 65.0% | 77.0% | 90.0% | 92.5% | |
Projected Dividends | 14,005 | 12,180 | 10,874 | 11,038 | 13,338 | 15,901 | 16,343 | |
% Growth | -13.0% | -10.7% | 1.5% | 20.8% | 19.2% |
Historical Performance | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | YTD | YTD | ||||||
(CNY in millions) | Dec-20 | Dec-21 | Dec-22 | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | |
Cash Dividends Paid | 3,381 | 2,072 | 47,908 | 33,090 | 14,005 | 584 | 355 | |
% Growth | -39% | 2212% | -31% | -58% | -39% | |||
Net Income to Common | 9,927 | 89,349 | 109,703 | 23,860 | 49,100 | 6,755 | 11,695 | |
% Growth | 800% | 23% | -78% | 106% | 73% | |||
Payout Ratio | 34% | 2% | 44% | 139% | 29% | 9% | 3% | |
Retention Ratio | 66% | 98% | 56% | -39% | 71% | 91% | 97% | |
Adjusted EBITDA | 20,887 | 134,215 | 166,843 | 30,053 | 66,166 | 8,863 | 15,219 | |
% Growth | 543% | 24% | -82% | 120% | 72% | |||
Total Debt | 140,420 | 124,768 | 93,726 | 84,386 | 76,222 | 77,090 | 79,514 | |
Shareholder's Equity | 43,914 | 133,694 | 200,591 | 196,115 | 234,668 | 202,854 | 244,134 | |
Debt / EBITDA | 6.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | ||
Debt / Equity | 320% | 93% | 47% | 43% | 32% | 38% | 33% | |
3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth | 707.8% | |||||||
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio | 34.1% |