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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 2.5x - 2.7x | 2.6x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 2.7x - 5.2x | 2.9x |
Fair Value | €64.70 - €71.51 | €68.10 |
Upside | -9.1% - 0.5% | -4.3% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
CVR Partners, LP | - | NYSE:UAN |
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. | - | NYSE:APD |
Quaker Chemical Corporation | - | NYSE:KWR |
The Mosaic Company | - | NYSE:MOS |
AdvanSix Inc. | - | NYSE:ASIX |
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. | - | DB:C4F |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
UAN | APD | KWR | MOS | ASIX | C4F | |||
NYSE:UAN | NYSE:APD | NYSE:KWR | NYSE:MOS | NYSE:ASIX | DB:C4F | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 16.9% | 29.8% | NM- | 1.3% | 19.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | -8.0% | 23.7% | -1.3% | -52.5% | -31.9% | 9.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 77.7% | -38.7% | -105.8% | 284.0% | 812.8% | 23.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.1% | 20.2% | 4.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 23.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 25.3% | 18.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 23.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 11.6% | 31.8% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 20.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 15.3% | 13.0% | -0.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 20.2% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 30.6% | 16.5% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 34.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 48.3% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 28.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 28.4% | 10.3% | -0.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 25.0% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 28.2% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 31.0% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 27.4% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 24.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.7x | 5.3x | 1.2x | 0.9x | 0.3x | 2.1x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 10.8x | 40.8x | -320.1x | 10.6x | 6.6x | 10.3x | ||
Price / Book | 3.0x | 4.1x | 1.7x | 0.8x | 0.6x | 2.7x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 3.1x | 3.5x | 1.6x | 0.8x | 0.6x | 2.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.6x | 1.7x | 4.1x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 2.7x | 2.9x | 5.2x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 2.5x | 2.6x | 2.7x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 4,963 | 4,963 | 4,963 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | UAN | APD | KWR | MOS | ASIX | C4F | |
Value of Common Equity | 946 | 63,194 | 2,210 | 10,315 | 487 | 13,469 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 10.6 | 222.6 | 17.4 | 317.4 | 26.8 | 162.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 89.48 | 283.95 | 127.03 | 32.50 | 18.13 | 83.15 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 89.48 | 283.95 | 127.03 | 32.50 | 18.13 | 71.18 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 |