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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 115.9x - 128.1x | 122.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.0x - 15.4x | 14.7x |
Fair Value | €6.90 - €8.01 | €7.46 |
Upside | -42.5% - -33.2% | -37.9% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Dr. Martens plc | DOCS | LSE:DOCS |
Mulberry Group plc | MUL | AIM:MUL |
V.F. Corporation | 0R30 | LSE:0R30 |
Moncler S.p.A. | 0QII | LSE:0QII |
Tapestry, Inc. | 0LD5 | LSE:0LD5 |
Burberry Group plc | BB2 | DB:BB2 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
DOCS | MUL | 0R30 | 0QII | 0LD5 | BB2 | ||
LSE:DOCS | AIM:MUL | LSE:0R30 | LSE:0QII | LSE:0LD5 | DB:BB2 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.2% | NM- | -18.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | -43.2% | |
3Y CAGR | -12.6% | NM- | -34.7% | 16.5% | 5.9% | -63.2% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -57.2% | -850.8% | -0.8% | 2.5% | 8.3% | -93.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 20.5% | -0.1% | 8.9% | 28.5% | 16.7% | 15.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 19.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 30.0% | 17.7% | 14.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 14.4% | -12.6% | 5.0% | 29.5% | 18.8% | 1.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.8% | -16.0% | 5.0% | 29.5% | 20.0% | 1.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.15x | 1.00x | 1.03x | 4.72x | 2.82x | 1.96x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.0x | -7.9x | 13.4x | 14.6x | 12.6x | 34.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 13.1x | -6.3x | 20.8x | 16.0x | 14.1x | 186.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -6.3x | 14.1x | 20.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.1x | 17.0x | 186.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 115.9x | 122.0x | 128.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 26 | 26 | 26 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,013 | 3,171 | 3,330 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,118) | (1,118) | (1,118) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,895 | 2,053 | 2,212 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 359.2 | 359.2 | 359.2 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 5.27 | 5.72 | 6.16 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/EUR | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.26 | 6.78 | 7.31 | 12.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -47.8% | -43.5% | -39.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DOCS | MUL | 0R30 | 0QII | 0LD5 | BB2 | |
Enterprise Value | 929 | 139 | 9,731 | 14,665 | 19,385 | 4,750 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 95 | 9 | 429 | 1,188 | 1,057 | 813 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1 | 0 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (450) | (78) | (5,366) | (957) | (4,108) | (1,924) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 7 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (7) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 575 | 77 | 4,833 | 14,900 | 16,336 | 3,632 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 965.2 | 70.1 | 389.7 | 270.6 | 207.7 | 359.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.60 | 1.10 | 12.40 | 55.06 | 78.66 | 10.11 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.60 | 1.10 | 12.40 | 55.06 | 78.66 | 12.00 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | USD | EUR | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.84 |