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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
Fair Value | €32.66 - €36.10 | €34.38 |
Upside | 14.6% - 26.7% | 20.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc. | 257,900.0% | TSE:2579 |
Kirin Holdings Company, Limited | 250,300.0% | TSE:2503 |
Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. | 250,200.0% | TSE:2502 |
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:KDP |
Constellation Brands, Inc. | - | NYSE:STZ |
Suntory Beverage & Food Limited | - | DB:7SN |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
2579 | 2503 | 2502 | KDP | STZ | 7SN | |||
TSE:2579 | TSE:2503 | TSE:2502 | NasdaqGS:KDP | NYSE:STZ | DB:7SN | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -0.5% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 4.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 10.2% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 2.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -0.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 14.7% | -0.8% | 5.2% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 0.8% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 5.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 0.8% | 2.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 8.4x | 9.2x | 15.0x | 11.2x | 6.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.7x | 1.0x | 3.0x | 3.1x | 0.9x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 56.4x | 28.9x | 15.0x | 31.8x | 45.8x | 16.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.5x | 1.0x | 3.1x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.9x | 0.9x | 1.0x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.1x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 1,696,765 | 1,696,765 | 1,696,765 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,621,299 | 1,706,631 | 1,791,962 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 309.0 | 309.0 | 309.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 5,246.92 | 5,523.08 | 5,799.23 | |||||
FX Rate: JPY/EUR | 160.9 | 160.9 | 160.9 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 32.61 | 34.32 | 36.04 | 28.50 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 14.4% | 20.4% | 26.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2579 | 2503 | 2502 | KDP | STZ | 7SN | |
Value of Common Equity | 412,420 | 1,684,383 | 2,880,966 | 45,872 | 31,417 | 1,417,040 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 174.4 | 810.0 | 1,502.9 | 1,356.8 | 180.7 | 309.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2,365.00 | 2,079.50 | 1,917.00 | 33.81 | 173.86 | 4,585.89 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 160.91 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,365.00 | 2,079.50 | 1,917.00 | 33.81 | 173.86 | 28.50 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 160.91 |