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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.8% - 10.8% | 11.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 0.9x |
Fair Value | €29.92 - €35 | €32.41 |
Upside | 29.0% - 50.8% | 39.7% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 1,384 | 1,112 | 1,104 | 1,104 | 1,104 | 1,104 |
% Growth | 21.8% | -19.7% | -0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 61 | 125 | 146 | 146 | 146 | 146 |
% of Revenue | 4.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 125 | 146 | 146 | 146 | 146 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (86) | (86) | (86) | (86) | (86) | |
EBIT | 39 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (10) | (16) | (16) | (16) | (16) | |
NOPAT | (29) | 29 | 44 | 44 | 44 | 44 |
Capital Expenditures | (117) | (85) | (80) | (94) | (94) | (94) |
NWC Investment | (51) | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 100 | 86 | 86 | 86 | 86 | 86 |
Free Cash Flow | (97) | 86 | 52 | 37 | 37 | 37 |
% Growth | NM | -39% | -30% | 0% | 0% |