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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.4x | 0.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.0x - 2.2x | 2.1x |
| Fair Value | €29.73 - €32.86 | €31.29 |
| Upside | 6.6% - 17.8% | 12.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Post AG | - | DB:DHL |
| ID Logistics Group SA | - | ENXTPA:IDL |
| Müller - Die lila Logistik SE | - | DB:MLL |
| A.L.A. società per azioni | - | DB:8WD |
| Compagnie de l'Odet | - | ENXTPA:ODET |
| Logista Integral, S.A. | - | DB:5CI |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| DHL | IDL | MLL | 8WD | ODET | 5CI | |||
| DB:DHL | ENXTPA:IDL | DB:MLL | DB:8WD | ENXTPA:ODET | DB:5CI | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.9% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 16.4% | -33.9% | 5.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 1.1% | 20.3% | 22.6% | 30.5% | -42.7% | 6.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.9% | 19.1% | -4.3% | 26.1% | -1.4% | 4.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 40.2% | 1.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 4.3% | -14.4% | 2.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 5.8% | -21.1% | 2.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 5.8% | -21.1% | 2.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 18.6x | 9.2x | 10.4x | 21.2x | 9.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.8x | 0.1x | 1.1x | 2.0x | 0.3x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 13.1x | 52.2x | 9.7x | 18.8x | -9.5x | 12.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.8x | 2.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 13,204 | 13,204 | 13,204 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,267 | 4,492 | 4,717 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 132.0 | 132.0 | 132.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 32.32 | 34.02 | 35.72 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 32.32 | 34.02 | 35.72 | 27.90 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 15.8% | 21.9% | 28.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | DHL | IDL | MLL | 8WD | ODET | 5CI | |
| Value of Common Equity | 44,279 | 2,758 | 36 | 316 | 6,240 | 3,684 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,135.9 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 132.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 38.98 | 422.00 | 4.56 | 35.00 | 1,474.00 | 27.90 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 38.98 | 422.00 | 4.56 | 35.00 | 1,474.00 | 27.90 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |