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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.0x |
| Fair Value | €29.15 - €32.22 | €30.68 |
| Upside | -16.1% - -7.2% | -11.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| ConocoPhillips | - | NYSE:COP |
| Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation | - | NYSE:MGY |
| Chevron Corporation | - | NYSE:CVX |
| Chord Energy Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:CHRD |
| EQT Corporation | - | NYSE:EQT |
| Ovintiv Inc. | - | DB:47Q |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| COP | MGY | CVX | CHRD | EQT | 47Q | |||
| NYSE:COP | NYSE:MGY | NYSE:CVX | NasdaqGS:CHRD | NYSE:EQT | DB:47Q | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 22.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 48.5% | -9.7% | -5.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 31.8% | 60.3% | -13.1% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.2% | -8.4% | 7.1% | -19.4% | -2.4% | -3.0% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 31.3% | 11.0% | 28.1% | 34.9% | 19.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.3% | 27.5% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 4.6% | 12.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.1% | 28.1% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 6.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.9x | 4.9x | 7.6x | 2.7x | 8.9x | 3.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.0x | 3.3x | 1.6x | 1.2x | 4.6x | 1.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 12.6x | 11.7x | 20.2x | 7.3x | 28.5x | 17.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 2.0x | 4.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.6x | 1.0x | 1.1x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.1x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 8,952 | 8,952 | 8,952 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,791 | 9,254 | 9,717 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 257.0 | 257.0 | 257.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 34.20 | 36.00 | 37.80 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 29.12 | 30.65 | 32.19 | 34.73 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.2% | -11.7% | -7.3% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | COP | MGY | CVX | CHRD | EQT | 47Q | |
| Value of Common Equity | 119,866 | 4,438 | 317,018 | 6,279 | 32,570 | 10,485 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,262.4 | 186.9 | 2,047.4 | 57.8 | 624.1 | 257.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 94.95 | 23.74 | 154.84 | 108.72 | 52.19 | 40.79 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 94.95 | 23.74 | 154.84 | 108.72 | 52.19 | 34.73 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.17 | |