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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.5% - 8.5% | 9.0% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 2.6x - 2.8x | 2.7x |
Fair Value | €1.37 - €1.56 | €1.46 |
Upside | 19.3% - 35.7% | 27.4% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
% Growth | 18.3% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
% of Revenue | 20.5% | 20.4% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
EBIT | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
NOPAT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
NWC Investment | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Free Cash Flow | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
% Growth | 17% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 2% |