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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.0% - 10.0% | 10.5% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 3.2x - 3.5x | 3.4x |
Fair Value | €1.29 - €1.48 | €1.38 |
Upside | 12.0% - 28.4% | 20.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-23 | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 |
Revenue | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
% Growth | 17.3% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
% of Revenue | 18.5% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | |
EBITDA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
EBIT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
NOPAT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
NWC Investment | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Free Cash Flow | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
% Growth | -6% | 17% | 6% | 3% | 2% |