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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.5% - 8.5% | 9.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 10.9x - 12.9x | 11.9x |
Fair Value | €0.46 - €0.74 | €0.59 |
Upside | -66.7% - -47.1% | -57.3% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 |
Revenue | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
% Growth | -3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
% of Revenue | 29.2% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 27.6% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 | |
EBITDA | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | (2) | |
EBIT | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
NOPAT | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Capital Expenditures | (9) | (6) | (6) | (7) | (6) | (7) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) |
NWC Investment | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Free Cash Flow | (3) | 0 | (0) | (1) | (0) | (0) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
% Growth | NM | NM | NM | NM | NM | NM | 0% | 0% | 0% | NM |