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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 46.4x - 51.2x | 48.8x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 12.6x - 14.0x | 13.3x |
| Fair Value | ₨38.58 - ₨42.64 | ₨40.61 |
| Upside | -9.0% - 0.6% | -4.2% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Agalawatte Plantations PLC | - | COSE:AGAL.N0000 |
| Three Acre Farms PLC | - | COSE:TAFL.N0000 |
| Talawakelle Tea Estates PLC | - | COSE:TPL.N0000 |
| Keells Food Products PLC | - | COSE:KFP.N0000 |
| Balangoda Plantations PLC | - | COSE:BALA.N0000 |
| Tea Smallholder Factories PLC | - | COSE:TSML.N0000 |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AGAL.N0000 | TAFL.N0000 | TPL.N0000 | KFP.N0000 | BALA.N0000 | TSML.N0000 | |||
| COSE:AGAL.N0000 | COSE:TAFL.N0000 | COSE:TPL.N0000 | COSE:KFP.N0000 | COSE:BALA.N0000 | COSE:TSML.N0000 | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 17.1% | 44.5% | -2.4% | NM- | -27.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -12.8% | 21.1% | 14.9% | -26.1% | NM- | 12.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 152.4% | -50.7% | -24.9% | 161.0% | 788.6% | 246.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 21.4% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.4% | 22.5% | 21.2% | -3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.1% | 27.4% | 15.8% | 2.0% | 15.3% | 0.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 22.6% | 24.6% | 15.8% | 2.0% | 15.5% | 0.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 3.8x | 2.0x | 11.5x | 3.7x | 14.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.9x | 2.5x | 0.9x | 0.6x | 0.8x | 0.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 8.3x | 10.0x | 5.8x | 32.6x | 5.2x | 56.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 5.2x | 8.3x | 32.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -30.3x | 3.8x | 56.3x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 46.4x | 48.8x | 51.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 22 | 22 | 22 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,001 | 1,054 | 1,107 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.38 | 35.14 | 36.89 | |||||
| FX Rate: LKR/LKR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 33.38 | 35.14 | 36.89 | 42.40 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.3% | -17.1% | -13.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AGAL.N0000 | TAFL.N0000 | TPL.N0000 | KFP.N0000 | BALA.N0000 | TSML.N0000 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,000 | 14,209 | 7,149 | 4,322 | 3,758 | 1,272 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 156.3 | 23.5 | 47.5 | 25.5 | 47.3 | 30.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 57.60 | 603.50 | 150.50 | 169.50 | 79.50 | 42.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 57.60 | 603.50 | 150.50 | 169.50 | 79.50 | 42.40 | |
| Trading Currency | LKR | LKR | LKR | LKR | LKR | LKR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |